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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 44.11 | $0.110 | $4.85 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 26.08 |
| $0.650 |
| $16.95 |
| Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Fredrick Love win the 2026 Arkansas Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | sell | 32.63 | $0.951 | $31.04 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 38.57 | $0.210 | $8.1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 26.09 | $0.460 | $12 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?Yes | buy | 480 | $0.005 | $2.4 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 44.12 | $0.170 | $7.5 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will Fredrick Love win the 2026 Arkansas Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 32.63 | $0.153 | $5 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 64.29 | $0.280 | $18 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | sell | 49.12 | $0.986 | $48.43 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Japanese PM apologize for China comments in 2025?Yes | sell | 21.81 | $0.100 | $2.18 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will Japanese PM apologize for China comments in 2025?Yes | buy | 21.82 | $0.110 | $2.4 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 34.22 | $0.690 | $23.6 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 23.27 | $0.540 | $12.57 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 23.27 | $0.550 | $12.8 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 15.69 | $0.660 | $10.36 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 49.12 | $0.971 | $47.7 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | sell | 75.55 | $0.810 | $61.2 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 75.56 | $0.810 | $61.2 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | sell | 86.41 | $0.969 | $83.74 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 86.42 | $0.978 | $84.5 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes | sell | 81.81 | $0.870 | $71.17 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 81.82 | $0.880 | $72 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | sell | 95.14 | $0.690 | $65.65 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 95.14 | $0.700 | $66.6 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes | sell | 70.19 | $0.922 | $64.72 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes | buy | 70.19 | $0.925 | $64.9 | Nov 8, 2025 |
| Will José Antonio Kast come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?Yes | sell | 104.74 | $0.720 | $75.41 | Nov 8, 2025 |
| Will José Antonio Kast come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 104.74 | $0.695 | $72.8 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.971 | $69.35 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 15.69 | $0.650 | $10.2 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.994 | $71 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Democratic sweep?Yes | sell | 69 | $0.999 | $68.93 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Democratic sweep?Yes | buy | 69.01 | $0.997 | $68.8 | Nov 5, 2025 |