Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "Epstein" by Monday?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.140 | $25 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 74.07 |
| $0.350 |
| $25.9 |
| May 18, 2025 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 25,000-50,000 between December and June?Yes | sell | 544.91 | $0.175 | $95.09 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose a blanket tariff of 10-20% on the EU by June 30?Yes | sell | 31.25 | $0.300 | $9.38 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will Jerome Powell say "Deport" or "Deportation" during the March meeting?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Mar 16, 2025 |
| Will Jerome Powell say "Inflation" 40 or more times during the March meeting?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Mar 16, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?No | sell | 73.41 | $0.701 | $51.46 | Mar 16, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?No | buy | 51.37 | $0.417 | $21.42 | Mar 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 71.77 | $0.290 | $20.81 | Mar 10, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?No | buy | 22.04 | $0.272 | $6 | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump impose a blanket tariff of 10-20% on the EU by June 30?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Mar 2, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 900-949 times Feb 28 - March 7?Yes | buy | 55.81 | $0.018 | $1 | Mar 1, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 950-999 times Feb 28 - March 7?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Sunday?Yes | buy | 122.44 | $0.041 | $5 | Mar 1, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?No | sell | 124.15 | $0.560 | $69.54 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Will 100-150k federal employees accept the buyout?Yes | buy | 269.87 | $0.019 | $5 | Mar 1, 2025 |
| Will fewer than 50k federal employees accept the buyout?Yes | buy | 506.85 | $0.006 | $3 | Feb 28, 2025 |
| Will 100-150k federal employees accept the buyout?Yes | buy | 365.71 | $0.014 | $5 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Will Kanye launch a coin by March 7?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Feb 28, 2025 |
| Will 100-150k federal employees accept the buyout?Yes | buy | 395.23 | $0.013 | $5 | Feb 28, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?No | buy | 124.15 | $0.040 | $5 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by less than 25,000 between December and June?Yes | buy | 54 | $0.093 | $5 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June?Yes | buy | 74.07 | $0.135 | $10 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 25,000-50,000 between December and June?Yes | buy | 544.91 | $0.018 | $10 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by February 28, 2025?Yes | sell | 238.09 | $0.003 | $0.74 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Feb 22, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by February 28, 2025?Yes | buy | 121.95 | $0.041 | $5 | Feb 22, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by February 28, 2025?Yes | buy | 238.1 | $0.042 | $10 | Feb 22, 2025 |