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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 7?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.151 | $0.91 | Jul 7, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 11.99 |
| $0.420 |
| $5.04 |
| Jul 5, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4?Yes | buy | 6.78 | $0.472 | $3.2 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?No | sell | 6 | $0.999 | $5.99 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 12?No | sell | 16 | $0.960 | $15.36 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 10?Yes | buy | 7.95 | $0.220 | $1.75 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 9?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.914 | $10.97 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be greater than 2.5%?Yes | sell | 123.72 | $0.116 | $14.39 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 31?No | sell | 16 | $0.820 | $13.12 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?No | sell | 10 | $0.996 | $9.96 | Jan 30, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 29?No | sell | 8 | $0.976 | $7.81 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be greater than 2.5%?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.135 | $2.7 | Jan 22, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 14?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | Jan 14, 2026 |
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December?No | buy | 12.27 | $0.114 | $1.4 | Jan 12, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 12?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.999 | $6.99 | Jan 12, 2026 |
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be greater than 2.5%?Yes | buy | 20.54 | $0.112 | $2.3 | Jan 4, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 19?No | sell | 15.32 | $0.610 | $9.35 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 19?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.930 | $7.44 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 18?No | sell | 3 | $0.996 | $2.99 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 18?No | sell | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 12?No | sell | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Dec 12, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 12?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.611 | $3.05 | Dec 12, 2025 |
Will three people dissent the December Fed decision?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 10?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.020 | $0.2 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 10?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 5.15 | $0.966 | $4.97 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be greater than 3.5%?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.497 | $9.94 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 8?Yes | sell | 2.85 | $0.258 | $0.74 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 8?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 5?No | sell | 11 | $0.960 | $10.56 | Dec 5, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 11AM ETUp | buy | 11.76 | $0.510 | $6 | Dec 5, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 5?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 1-7?Yes | sell | 6.15 | $0.999 | $6.14 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will three people dissent the December Fed decision?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 1-7?Yes | buy | 6.15 | $0.260 | $1.6 | Dec 1, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 December 1-7?Yes | buy | 5.06 | $0.435 | $2.2 | Dec 1, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 December 1-7?Yes | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | Dec 1, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 9AM ETUp | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 9AM ETUp | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 November 24-30?Yes | sell | 6.15 | $0.999 | $6.14 | Nov 26, 2025 |
Will four or more people dissent the December Fed decision?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.350 | $2.45 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 November 24-30?Yes | buy | 6.15 | $0.520 | $3.2 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?Yes | buy | 11.08 | $0.130 | $1.44 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.150 | $2.25 | Nov 21, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 20?Down | sell | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | Nov 20, 2025 |
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?Yes | buy | 61.9 | $0.021 | $1.3 | Nov 20, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.15 | $0.330 | $1.7 | Nov 19, 2025 |
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.045 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ETUp | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Oct 29, 2025 |