Latest trade
Mar 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 12:39 PM UTC.
Analytics
Immaterial-Premise is down $30.83 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 11 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-09 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Mar 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 12:39 PM UTC.
$10 median trade
Its latest 23 trades covered 16 markets; 73.9% were buys. They run from Mar 8, 2026 UTC to Mar 23, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 156.24 | $0.244 | $25.39 | -$12.74 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-09 12:35 UTC
Polymarket public position response
4 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 12:39 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
23 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 12:39 UTC
polymarket positions
13 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-09 12:35 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $32.41 and losing ones cost $53.24 across 11 settled positions. 45.5% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $13.51 on “Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?” (No); the largest loss, $10 on “US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 23 Mar 2026. It has traded 16 markets. Its open positions are worth $45.42 across 4 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 20 |
| $0.500 |
| $13.3 |
| +$3.3 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 58.82 | $0.170 | $6.24 | -$3.76 |
 Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 58.82 | $0.170 | $0.5 | -$9.5 |
| sell |
| 639.37 |
| $0.016 |
| $10.23 |
| Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 98.43 | $0.286 | $28.13 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump say "Most Favored Nation" during Ohio visit?Yes | sell | 9.58 | $0.024 | $0.23 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Obamacare" during Ohio visit?Yes | sell | 10.29 | $0.007 | $0.07 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Drug" 15+ times during Ohio visit?Yes | sell | 29.55 | $0.005 | $0.15 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Kentucky visit?Yes | buy | 13.79 | $0.430 | $5.93 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 27+ times during Kentucky visit?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 666.66 | $0.016 | $10.92 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Obamacare" during Ohio visit?Yes | buy | 10.29 | $0.650 | $6.69 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Most Favored Nation" during Ohio visit?Yes | buy | 9.59 | $0.730 | $7 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Drug" 15+ times during Ohio visit?Yes | buy | 29.56 | $0.338 | $10 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No | sell | 56.15 | $0.419 | $23.5 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 639.38 | $0.014 | $9 | Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.015 | $10 | Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
 UK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 27.11 | $0.369 | $10 | Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No | buy | 56.16 | $0.178 | $10 | Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 57.8 | $0.173 | $10 | Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 81.3 | $0.123 | $10 | Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.