Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 23.91 | $0.440 | $10.52 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 59.18 |
| $0.110 |
| $6.51 |
| Jan 21, 2025 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June?Yes | buy | 45.98 | $0.087 | $4 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump create a Bitcoin reserve in first week?Yes | buy | 33.79 | $0.030 | $1 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Jan 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 151.06 | $0.331 | $50 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Yes | buy | 111.08 | $0.360 | $39.99 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 World Chess Championship 2024 WinnerDing | buy | 13.73 | $0.260 | $3.57 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 S&P500 all time high after election is called?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Bitcoin all time high day after election?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 36.36 | $0.055 | $2 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Minnesota be the closest state?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.054 | $2 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Wisconsin be the closest state?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will New Hampshire be the closest state?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.125 | $5 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will the AP call the election on November 8?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will the AP call the election on November 5?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseYes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Trump wins every swing state?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Trump wins every swing state?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.200 | $25 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will Harris win Minnesota by 3+ points?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will Trump win Missouri by 20+ points?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 5-14Yes | buy | 71.99 | $0.028 | $2 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154Yes | buy | 62.81 | $0.080 | $5 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Buccaneers vs. ChiefsBuccaneers | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will Republicans have 52 seats in Senate after election?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will another state be the closest state?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Trump wins 312-226 - swing state sweepYes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Trump wins 316-222 - AZ, GA, MI, MN, NC, PA, WIYes | buy | 22.22 | $0.045 | $1 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Trump wins 322-216 - AZ, GA, MI, MN, NV, PA, WIYes | buy | 15.87 | $0.063 | $1 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.5% or more?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.5%-2.0%?Yes | buy | 46.51 | $0.043 | $2 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.0%-2.5%?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.066 | $2 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?Yes | buy | 26.79 | $0.560 | $15 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Trump wins every swing state?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Nov 4, 2024 |