Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?Yes | buy | 17.83 | $0.060 | $1.07 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.11 |
| $0.971 |
| $1.08 |
| Jul 1, 2026 |
 Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?No | sell | 84.91 | $0.979 | $83.13 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Israeli forces enter Beirut by July 31?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.979 | $1.09 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?No | buy | 84.92 | $0.883 | $74.96 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 20, 2026?No | buy | 114.44 | $0.087 | $10 | May 19, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: MarchSomething | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | May 19, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.935 | $1 | May 19, 2026 |