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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will OpenAI acquire Chrome by December 31?Yes | sell | 999.97 | $0.013 | $12.79 | Oct 30, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 1.2K |
| $0.318 |
| $381.68 |
| Sep 5, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in August?Yes | sell | 102 | $0.058 | $5.92 | Aug 13, 2025 |
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | sell | 161.6 | $0.200 | $32.32 | Aug 13, 2025 |
Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?No | buy | 130 | $0.057 | $7.41 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?No | buy | 55 | $0.056 | $3.08 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | sell | 161.6 | $0.213 | $34.37 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 450 or more times August 8–August 15?No | buy | 224 | $0.260 | $58.24 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in August?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.057 | $0.57 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in August?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.057 | $1.14 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Solana Up or Down - August 11, 2PM ETUp | sell | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2PM ETDown | buy | 717.5 | $0.054 | $38.88 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Solana Up or Down - August 11, 2PM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 313.2 | $0.150 | $46.98 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?No | sell | 497 | $0.029 | $14.41 | Aug 6, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released on August 12?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.002 | $0.03 | Aug 6, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released on August 10?Yes | buy | 25.6 | $0.002 | $0.05 | Aug 6, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released on August 13?Yes | buy | 134.5 | $0.011 | $1.42 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released on August 13?Yes | buy | 128.27 | $0.009 | $1.09 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released on August 14?Yes | buy | 120.25 | $0.019 | $2.28 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released on August 14?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.018 | $1.4 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?No | buy | 497 | $0.100 | $49.7 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $113K and $114K on August 4 at 5PM ET?Yes | buy | 340 | $0.009 | $3.06 | Aug 4, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $115K on August 4 at 5PM ET?Yes | buy | 221.43 | $0.271 | $60 | Aug 4, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?Yes | sell | 870 | $0.637 | $554.41 | Aug 3, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?Yes | buy | 419.29 | $0.093 | $39 | Aug 2, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?Yes | buy | 438 | $0.081 | $35.48 | Aug 2, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.080 | $6.4 | Aug 2, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.075 | $2.25 | Aug 2, 2025 |
Will @Grok resume replying by Wednesday?Yes | sell | 160 | $0.670 | $107.2 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | sell | 172.5 | $0.243 | $42 | Jun 28, 2025 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sebastian Burduja?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Jun 20, 2025 |
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 3.85K | $0.068 | $263.69 | Jun 1, 2025 |
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | sell | 2.93K | $0.090 | $263.69 | Jun 1, 2025 |
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 2.43K | $0.160 | $387.59 | Jun 1, 2025 |
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.200 | $100 | Jun 1, 2025 |
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | sell | 599.99 | $0.574 | $344.39 | May 30, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.040 | $24 | May 28, 2025 |
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?No | sell | 200 | $0.320 | $63.9 | May 28, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | May 28, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | May 28, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | May 28, 2025 |
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | sell | 790.55 | $0.675 | $533.72 | May 28, 2025 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be from another party?Yes | buy | 882.54 | $0.008 | $7.06 | May 28, 2025 |
Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | sell | 679.99 | $0.055 | $37.53 | May 26, 2025 |
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 416.42 | $0.660 | $274.84 | May 25, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | sell | 4.65K | $0.016 | $73.08 | May 23, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | sell | 11.44K | $0.011 | $125.11 | May 23, 2025 |
Will BTC close above $106K on May 23?No | buy | 313.83 | $0.064 | $20 | May 23, 2025 |
Will BTC close above $104K on May 23?No | buy | 1.48K | $0.013 | $20 | May 23, 2025 |