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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 34 | $0.860 | $29.24 | Jun 23, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 4 |
| $0.101 |
| $0.4 |
| Jun 22, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.250 | $20 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | sell | 31 | $0.850 | $26.35 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 21 | $0.855 | $17.96 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.850 | $8.86 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.050 | $1.5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.050 | $1.5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.110 | $3.19 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 34 | $0.830 | $28.22 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.067 | $2.35 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 32 | $0.952 | $30.46 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 10 | $0.610 | $6.1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 14 | $0.620 | $8.68 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | sell | 32 | $0.949 | $30.37 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 32 | $0.981 | $31.39 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.064 | $1.15 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 81 | $0.360 | $29.16 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 41 | $0.480 | $19.68 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.470 | $19.27 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 32 | $0.982 | $31.42 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.123 | $0.49 | Jul 24, 2025 |
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.030 | $0.78 | Jul 24, 2025 |
Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 8 | $0.995 | $7.96 | Jul 24, 2025 |
Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 5 | $0.941 | $4.71 | Jul 24, 2025 |
Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 5 | $0.941 | $4.71 | Jul 24, 2025 |
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 5 | $0.919 | $4.6 | Jul 22, 2025 |
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 5+ times during his AI speech on July 23?No | sell | 13 | $0.081 | $1.05 | Jul 22, 2025 |
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 5+ times during his AI speech on July 23?No | buy | 13 | $0.097 | $1.26 | Jul 22, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.138 | $1.24 | Jul 22, 2025 |
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | sell | 11 | $0.378 | $4.16 | Jul 22, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 9 | $0.289 | $2.6 | Jul 20, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 9 | $0.292 | $2.63 | Jul 20, 2025 |
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 6 | $0.924 | $5.54 | Jul 20, 2025 |
Will Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 6 | $0.954 | $5.72 | Jul 20, 2025 |
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.551 | $5.51 | Jul 20, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $140K in July?No | sell | 6 | $0.966 | $5.8 | Jul 19, 2025 |
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 6 | $0.924 | $5.54 | Jul 19, 2025 |
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 6 | $0.923 | $5.54 | Jul 19, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 18–25?No | sell | 6 | $0.964 | $5.78 | Jul 19, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 18–25?No | buy | 6 | $0.964 | $5.78 | Jul 19, 2025 |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.975 | $4.88 | Jul 19, 2025 |
Will Seán Kelly win the Irish Presidential Election?No | sell | 5 | $0.972 | $4.86 | Jul 19, 2025 |
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.092 | $0.74 | Jul 18, 2025 |
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.093 | $1.58 | Jul 18, 2025 |
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.039 | $1.13 | Jul 17, 2025 |
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.099 | $1.39 | Jul 17, 2025 |
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.037 | $1.07 | Jul 17, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in July?No | sell | 13 | $0.972 | $12.64 | Jul 17, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in July?No | buy | 13 | $0.974 | $12.66 | Jul 17, 2025 |