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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 63.16 | $0.950 | $60.32 | +$0.32 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | 3d ago |
|
| No |
| 53.34 |
| $0.750 |
| $43.47 |
| +$3.47 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 31.58 | $0.950 | $30.88 | +$0.88 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 21.44 | $0.933 | $20.74 | +$0.74 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 22.81 | $0.658 | $19.44 | +$4.44 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 15 | $0.800 | $13.88 | +$1.88 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 15.38 | $0.650 | $13 | +$3 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 12.99 | $0.770 | $12.14 | +$2.14 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 13.89 | $0.720 | $11.6 | +$1.6 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 11.27 | $0.887 | $11.06 | +$1.06 |
 Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | No | 11.14 | $0.897 | $10.89 | +$0.89 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | Yes | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10.69 | +$0.69 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | Yes | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10.68 | +$0.68 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10.29 | +$0.29 |
 Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026? | No | 13.12 | $0.762 | $9.71 | -$0.29 |
| buy |
| 12.35 |
| $0.810 |
| $10 |
| 3d ago |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 31.76 | $0.026 | $0.84 | 16d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | 17d ago |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.76 | $0.315 | $10 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 23.69 | $0.041 | $0.97 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 53.33 | $0.750 | $40 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 23.25 | $0.740 | $17.21 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 33.75 | $0.889 | $30 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | sell | 208.33 | $0.900 | $187.5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.480 | $100 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | buy | 33.71 | $0.890 | $30 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?Yes | buy | 51.28 | $0.975 | $50 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.950 | $100 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?Yes | buy | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?No | buy | 32.61 | $0.920 | $30 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | sell | 16.66 | $0.780 | $12.99 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?Yes | sell | 21.73 | $0.210 | $4.56 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?No | buy | 20.96 | $0.954 | $20 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.920 | $20 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 188.67 | $0.051 | $9.62 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 188.68 | $0.053 | $10 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Christopher Luxon out by September 30?Yes | sell | 15.62 | $0.096 | $1.51 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.41 | $0.160 | $1.67 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.26 | $0.816 | $10 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 63.16 | $0.950 | $60 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 28.17 | $0.355 | $10 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.88 | $0.919 | $10 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.851 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.2 | $0.142 | $1.45 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?Yes | buy | 58.2 | $0.962 | $56 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?No | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.430 | $10 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes | sell | 9.25 | $0.323 | $2.99 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to ScoreNo | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 15.15 | $0.248 | $3.76 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?Yes | buy | 6.43 | $0.156 | $1 | May 31, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 32.78 | $0.270 | $8.85 | May 31, 2026 |
| Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | May 30, 2026 |
| Christopher Luxon out by September 30?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | May 30, 2026 |
 Ethereum flipped in 2026?No | sell | 30.93 | $0.510 | $15.77 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes | buy | 6.09 | $0.986 | $6 | May 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 27.58 | $0.220 | $6.07 | May 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.59 | $0.580 | $16 | May 24, 2026 |