Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 96.19 | $0.570 | $51.46 | -$3.37 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 96.19 | $0.570 | $54.83 | 8d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 80.65 |
| $0.620 |
| $42.34 |
| -$7.66 |
| Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? | No | 58.82 | $0.680 | $29.12 | -$10.88 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 20.97 | $0.515 | $12.02 | +$1.22 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 50.51 | $0.198 | $7.3 | -$2.7 |
| sell |
| 145.22 |
| $0.517 |
| $75.13 |
| 10d ago |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 20.97 | $0.515 | $10.8 | 29d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 11.11 | $0.946 | $10.51 | 29d ago |
| Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?Yes | buy | 145.23 | $0.350 | $50.83 | 29d ago |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 84.89 | $0.270 | $22.96 | 29d ago |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?No | sell | 10.86 | $0.910 | $9.88 | 29d ago |
 Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 10.15 | $0.992 | $10.07 | 29d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 10.33 | $0.974 | $10.06 | 29d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 84.89 | $0.229 | $19.44 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 10.86 | $0.910 | $9.88 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 10.02 | $0.997 | $9.99 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Jennifer Austria Barzaga win the special election to fill the Cavite 4th congressional district seat in the Philippine House of Representatives?Yes | buy | 175.82 | $0.596 | $104.78 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 50.51 | $0.198 | $10 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 80.65 | $0.620 | $50 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.33 | $0.968 | $10 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.998 | $10 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.15 | $0.985 | $10 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Jennifer Austria Barzaga win the special election to fill the Cavite 4th congressional district seat in the Philippine House of Representatives?Yes | buy | 88.42 | $0.566 | $50 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.680 | $20 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.680 | $20 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Jennifer Austria Barzaga win the special election to fill the Cavite 4th congressional district seat in the Philippine House of Representatives?Yes | buy | 118.33 | $0.423 | $50 | Jul 24, 2026 |