Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 55.17 | $0.997 | $55.03 | +$0.03 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 7.21 | $0.971 | $7 | Mar 19, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 5.11 |
| $0.979 |
| $5 |
| Nov 27, 2025 |
Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 6.01 | $0.999 | $6 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%?Yes | buy | 6.02 | $0.997 | $6 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?Yes | buy | 6.04 | $0.994 | $6 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump issue 0 executive order in the week of October 10?Yes | buy | 10.07 | $0.993 | $10 | Oct 16, 2025 |
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.0%?No | buy | 8.03 | $0.996 | $8 | Oct 16, 2025 |
Will Israel strike Yemen 4 or more times by September 30?No | buy | 8.09 | $0.989 | $8 | Sep 29, 2025 |
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 55.17 | $0.997 | $55 | Aug 31, 2025 |
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 55.33 | $0.992 | $54.89 | Aug 31, 2025 |
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 55.33 | $0.994 | $55 | Aug 30, 2025 |
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Aug 30, 2025 |
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?No | buy | 10.98 | $0.820 | $9 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?No | buy | 8.05 | $0.994 | $8 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Will "Smurfs" Rotten Tomatoes score be 70 or higher?No | buy | 8.8 | $0.909 | $8 | Jun 29, 2025 |
Will Mikie Sherrill win NJ Governor Dem primary by >15%?No | buy | 7.08 | $0.989 | $7 | Jun 29, 2025 |
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | May 30, 2025 |
Lee Jae-myung arrested before July?No | buy | 8.19 | $0.977 | $8 | May 30, 2025 |
Israel military action against Iran in April?No | buy | 8.02 | $0.997 | $8 | Apr 30, 2025 |
Mahmoud Khalil released from custody before May?No | buy | 8.02 | $0.998 | $8 | Apr 30, 2025 |
U.S. withdraws from Syria before July?No | buy | 8.25 | $0.970 | $8 | Apr 30, 2025 |
Gavin Newsom out as Governor before April?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.998 | $7 | Mar 29, 2025 |
Bird flu declared public health emergency before April?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Mar 29, 2025 |
El Mencho out as leader of Jalisco New Generation Cartel?No | buy | 9.02 | $0.998 | $9 | Mar 29, 2025 |
Will the CDU/CSU win between 26% and 28% of the vote in the German election?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.997 | $6 | Feb 28, 2025 |
Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 10.09 | $0.991 | $10 | Feb 28, 2025 |
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 7.22 | $0.970 | $7 | Feb 28, 2025 |
Will Levon Aronian win the World Rapid Championship?No | buy | 8.45 | $0.947 | $8 | Dec 27, 2024 |
Will Gold close over $3,000 at the end of 2024?No | buy | 8.02 | $0.998 | $8 | Dec 27, 2024 |
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Dec 20-27?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.960 | $8 | Dec 27, 2024 |
Will Kai and Speed win Fortnite in 75-99 tries?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.880 | $8 | Dec 27, 2024 |
Will Tottenham win the 2024 Carabao Cup?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.910 | $7 | Dec 27, 2024 |
Will Micheal Martin be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?Yes | buy | 7.1 | $0.986 | $7 | Dec 27, 2024 |
Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 8.03 | $0.996 | $8 | Dec 17, 2024 |
Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?Yes | buy | 8.35 | $0.958 | $8 | Dec 17, 2024 |
U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤10k votes?No | buy | 8.01 | $0.999 | $8 | Dec 17, 2024 |
Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?Yes | buy | 8.02 | $0.997 | $8 | Dec 17, 2024 |
Will Jill Stein get >1% of the popular vote?No | buy | 8.02 | $0.998 | $8 | Dec 17, 2024 |
Will RFK Jr. place second in any state?No | buy | 8.01 | $0.999 | $8 | Dec 17, 2024 |
Will the November 2024 temperature increase be less than 1.20°C?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.992 | $8 | Dec 4, 2024 |
2024 November hottest on record?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.992 | $8 | Dec 4, 2024 |
Will Jill Stein get >1% of the popular vote?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Dec 4, 2024 |
U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤100k votes?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.996 | $6 | Dec 4, 2024 |
Will Trump win Missouri by 20+ points?No | buy | 8.01 | $0.999 | $8 | Dec 4, 2024 |
Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points?Yes | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Dec 4, 2024 |
Will Harris win New Jersey by 10+ points?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.999 | $6 | Nov 29, 2024 |
U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤100k votes?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Nov 29, 2024 |
Will Trump win Missouri by 20+ points?No | buy | 8.04 | $0.995 | $8 | Nov 29, 2024 |
Will Trump do better in Ohio or Texas?Texas | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Nov 29, 2024 |
Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?No | buy | 6.06 | $0.990 | $6 | Nov 29, 2024 |