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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Elon tweet 290–304 times August 8–August 15?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Aug 10, 2025 |
![]() |
| buy |
| 11.11 |
| $0.090 |
| $1 |
| Aug 10, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 290–304 times August 8–August 15?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 230–244 times August 8–August 15?Yes | buy | 36.71 | $0.027 | $1 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 260–274 times August 8–August 15?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.047 | $1 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 425–439 times August 8–August 15?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 410–424 times August 8–August 15?Yes | buy | 26.43 | $0.038 | $1 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 335–349 times August 8–August 15?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 320–334 times August 8–August 15?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 305–319 times August 8–August 15?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 8?Down | sell | 11.78 | $0.870 | $10.25 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 8?Down | buy | 11.78 | $0.880 | $10.37 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $117K on August 8?Yes | sell | 11.27 | $0.920 | $10.37 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $117K on August 8?Yes | buy | 2.01 | $0.700 | $1.41 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $117K on August 8?Yes | sell | 5.19 | $0.272 | $1.41 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $117K on August 8?Yes | buy | 5.2 | $0.410 | $2.13 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $117K on August 8?Yes | sell | 7.89 | $0.270 | $2.13 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $117K on August 8?Yes | buy | 7.89 | $0.470 | $3.71 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $113K and $115K on August 8?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $117K on August 8?Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released on August 15 or later?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.007 | $0.01 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released on August 15 or later?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released on August 15 or later?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released on August 10?Yes | buy | 161.14 | $0.006 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released on August 9?Yes | buy | 236.6 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released on August 11?Yes | buy | 236 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released on August 12?Yes | buy | 261.88 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released on August 13?Yes | buy | 255.42 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released on August 14?Yes | buy | 213.6 | $0.005 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00–1.04ºC in July 2025?No | buy | 77.69 | $0.013 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released on August 15 or later?Yes | buy | 188.12 | $0.011 | $2 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 105–119 times June 27–July 4?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jun 29, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times June 27–July 4?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.011 | $0.29 | Jun 29, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 120–134 times June 27–July 4?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Jun 29, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times June 27–July 4?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Jun 29, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 105–119 times June 27–July 4?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Jun 29, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 90–104 times June 27–July 4?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.025 | $2 | Jun 29, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 90–104 times June 27–July 4?Yes | buy | 37.5 | $0.080 | $3 | Jun 27, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times June 27–July 4?Yes | buy | 62.04 | $0.048 | $3 | Jun 27, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 130–144 times June 20–27?Yes | sell | 6.73 | $0.999 | $6.72 | Jun 27, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 130–144 times June 20–27?Yes | buy | 6.73 | $0.520 | $3.5 | Jun 26, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 100–114 times June 20–27?Yes | buy | 105.77 | $0.019 | $2 | Jun 24, 2025 |
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?No | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | Jun 24, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 115–129 times June 20–27?Yes | buy | 78.83 | $0.038 | $3 | Jun 24, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 115–129 times June 20–27?Yes | buy | 72.5 | $0.041 | $3 | Jun 23, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 100–114 times June 20–27?Yes | buy | 134.8 | $0.015 | $2 | Jun 23, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times June 20–27?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.004 | $2 | Jun 23, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 100–114 times June 20–27?Yes | buy | 85.23 | $0.153 | $13 | Jun 22, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times June 20–27?Yes | buy | 72.16 | $0.097 | $7 | Jun 22, 2025 |