Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 149.46 | $0.090 | $13.45 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.47K |
| $0.250 |
| $368.71 |
| Mar 29, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 104.03 | $0.997 | $103.72 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.36K | $0.883 | $1.2K | Jan 6, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 113.64 | $0.880 | $100 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes | buy | 103.72 | $0.964 | $100 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 149.46 | $0.669 | $100 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31?No | buy | 115.2 | $0.930 | $107.19 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 52.54 | $0.700 | $36.78 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 114.94 | $0.320 | $36.78 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.23K | $0.989 | $1.22K | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 104.17 | $0.960 | $100 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 114.94 | $0.870 | $100 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 107.18 | $0.933 | $100 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31?No | buy | 100.2 | $0.998 | $100 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 101.63 | $0.984 | $100 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | buy | 37.07 | $0.897 | $33.25 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 75.57 | $0.440 | $33.25 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 75.57 | $0.443 | $33.49 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?No | sell | 1.49K | $0.023 | $33.49 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jun-seok win more than 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?Yes | buy | 664.73 | $0.148 | $98.46 | May 19, 2025 |
 Linea airdrop in Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 1.22K | $0.493 | $600 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will Lee Jun-seok win more than 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?Yes | buy | 1.8K | $0.166 | $300 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?No | buy | 1.49K | $0.200 | $297.57 | May 14, 2025 |
| Will Lee Jun-seok win more than 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.099 | $100 | May 14, 2025 |
 Will Kim Moon-soo win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.26K | $0.079 | $100 | May 14, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 13.51K | $0.037 | $500 | May 14, 2025 |
| Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 6.11K | $0.058 | $353.52 | May 1, 2025 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?No | sell | 303.03 | $0.010 | $3.03 | Apr 4, 2025 |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?No | buy | 303.03 | $0.330 | $100 | Apr 4, 2025 |
| Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?Yes | buy | 441.48 | $0.900 | $397.33 | Jan 4, 2025 |
 Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?Yes | buy | 29.79 | $0.900 | $26.81 | Jan 4, 2025 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 856.83 | $0.986 | $844.83 | Jan 4, 2025 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 856.84 | $0.987 | $845.7 | Jan 4, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 103.41 | $0.967 | $100 | Dec 15, 2024 |
+placed+on+a+vibrant+green+arrow+that's+shooting+upwards%2C+symbolizing+the+rapid+growth+and+bullis.webp) Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?Yes | buy | 588.24 | $0.170 | $100 | Dec 15, 2024 |
| Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Dec 12, 2024 |
| Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Ethereum all time high in 2024?Yes | buy | 313.83 | $0.191 | $60 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.770 | $70 | Dec 10, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Dec 10, 2024 |