Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.030 | $3 | Jul 31, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 93.92 |
| $0.124 |
| $11.6 |
| Feb 28, 2025 |
 Build Wars: Webflow vs. LovableLovable | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | sell | 873.33 | $0.025 | $21.6 | Feb 13, 2025 |
 Will a Chinese AI model become #1 before April?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | buy | 260.96 | $0.008 | $2 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | buy | 225.61 | $0.005 | $1.14 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.003 | $1.5 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | buy | 405 | $0.005 | $2 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.005 | $2 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| Will a Chinese AI model become #1 before April?Yes | buy | 187.5 | $0.080 | $15 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Thicknesse vs. TopuriaThicknesse | buy | 101.92 | $0.260 | $26.5 | Feb 7, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | buy | 207.37 | $0.005 | $1 | Feb 1, 2025 |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | buy | 105.24 | $0.021 | $2.2 | Feb 1, 2025 |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | buy | 110.2 | $0.027 | $3 | Feb 1, 2025 |
| Adesanya vs. ImavovImavov | sell | 107.31 | $0.990 | $106.24 | Feb 1, 2025 |
| Magomedov vs. PagePage | sell | 580.63 | $0.990 | $574.82 | Feb 1, 2025 |
| Magomedov vs. PagePage | buy | 188.57 | $0.350 | $66 | Jan 31, 2025 |
| Magomedov vs. PagePage | buy | 114.29 | $0.350 | $40 | Jan 31, 2025 |
| Magomedov vs. PagePage | buy | 277.78 | $0.360 | $100 | Jan 31, 2025 |
 Will Oracle buy TikTok?No | sell | 274.19 | $0.750 | $205.64 | Jan 31, 2025 |
| Adesanya vs. ImavovImavov | buy | 107.32 | $0.410 | $44 | Jan 31, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $3,750 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 240 | $0.004 | $1 | Jan 31, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,750 by January 31?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.003 | $1 | Jan 31, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Jan 31, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 58.89 | $0.017 | $1 | Jan 31, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday?No | buy | 89.65 | $0.056 | $5 | Jan 31, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on January 31?No | buy | 111.59 | $0.027 | $3 | Jan 31, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on January 31?Yes | buy | 86.96 | $0.023 | $2 | Jan 31, 2025 |
 Will another model be the top AI model on January 31?Yes | buy | 350.04 | $0.006 | $2 | Jan 31, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek be #1 model before April?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| Will DeepSeek be #1 model before April?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.175 | $5 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| Will DeepSeek be #1 model before April?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| Will DeepSeek be #1 model before April?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 57.8 | $0.173 | $10 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| Will Oracle buy TikTok?No | buy | 112.9 | $0.620 | $70 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| Will Oracle buy TikTok?No | buy | 161.29 | $0.620 | $100 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 17-24?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.120 | $9.98 | Jan 22, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 17-24?Yes | sell | 83.01 | $0.265 | $21.99 | Jan 22, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Jan 17-24?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.351 | $14.04 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will Solana hit $300 by January 31, 2025?No | sell | 94.42 | $0.597 | $56.4 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will $Trump FDV be $7-10b on inauguration day?Yes | sell | 270.14 | $0.001 | $0.27 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Will $Trump FDV be $10-15b on inauguration day?Yes | sell | 434.08 | $0.015 | $6.51 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Will $Trump FDV be less than $3b on inauguration day?Yes | sell | 495.73 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Will $Trump FDV be $3-5b on inauguration day?Yes | sell | 627.27 | $0.001 | $0.63 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Will $Trump FDV be $15b or more on inauguration day?No | sell | 265.52 | $0.020 | $5.37 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 17-24?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 17-24?Yes | buy | 83.01 | $0.120 | $10 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Jan 17-24?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Jan 19, 2025 |