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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETDown | sell | 2.04 | $0.520 | $1.06 | Jun 19, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 2.04 |
| $0.490 |
| $1 |
| Jun 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETDown | sell | 1.13 | $0.930 | $1.05 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETDown | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?Yes | sell | 119.97 | $0.012 | $1.44 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 500 | $0.810 | $405 | May 5, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 44.86 | $0.670 | $30.06 | May 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 44.86 | $0.580 | $26.02 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 500 | $0.800 | $400 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 56.95 | $0.770 | $43.85 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 383.11 | $0.910 | $348.63 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | sell | 103.95 | $0.996 | $103.53 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 30.93 | $0.810 | $25.05 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes | buy | 28.56 | $0.780 | $22.28 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETDown | sell | 1.36 | $0.770 | $1.05 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETDown | buy | 1.33 | $0.720 | $0.96 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETUp | sell | 1.54 | $0.790 | $1.22 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETUp | buy | 1.5 | $0.630 | $0.95 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETDown | buy | 1.06 | $0.930 | $0.99 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETUp | sell | 1.3 | $0.920 | $1.2 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETUp | buy | 1.27 | $0.760 | $0.97 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETUp | sell | 1.92 | $0.640 | $1.23 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETUp | buy | 1.86 | $0.500 | $0.93 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETDown | sell | 1.75 | $0.700 | $1.22 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETDown | buy | 1.7 | $0.550 | $0.94 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETUp | sell | 1.34 | $0.990 | $1.33 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETUp | buy | 1.32 | $0.730 | $0.96 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETUp | sell | 1.13 | $0.990 | $1.12 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETUp | buy | 1.13 | $0.870 | $0.98 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.700 | $21 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 26.03 | $0.730 | $19 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.650 | $39 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 70 | $0.740 | $51.8 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 198.14 | $0.280 | $55.48 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by March 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 97.77 | $0.220 | $21.51 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 19.53 | $0.750 | $14.65 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.570 | $5.7 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | sell | 54.33 | $0.620 | $33.68 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | sell | 39.47 | $0.450 | $17.76 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 23.22 | $0.730 | $16.95 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Miami Open: Mirra Andreeva vs McCartney KesslerMcCartney Kessler | sell | 22.72 | $0.091 | $2.07 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Miami Open: Mirra Andreeva vs McCartney KesslerMcCartney Kessler | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 7.53 | $0.870 | $6.55 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.170 | $6.54 | Mar 19, 2026 |