Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 4.11K | $0.470 | $1.87K | -$61.63 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 40.88K | $0.006 | $245.3 | 6d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 368.38K |
| $0.014 |
| $1.29K |
| -$3.86K |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 22.55K | $0.039 | $800.63 | -$76.85 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 100K | $0.003 | $150 | -$149.95 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 8.67K | $0.011 | $39.03 | -$60.97 |
| buy |
| 4.11K |
| $0.470 |
| $1.93K |
| 9d ago |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 26?Yes | sell | 2.4K | $0.752 | $1.8K | 15d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.039 | $43.35 | 20d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.67K | $0.012 | $100 | 20d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100K | $0.003 | $300 | 20d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 327.5K | $0.015 | $4.91K | 20d ago |
 Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 2.8K | $0.036 | $100 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 1.85K | $0.027 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 3.45K | $0.029 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 904.96 | $0.111 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 1.12K | $0.089 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 588.24 | $0.170 | $100 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.060 | $100 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.15K | $0.012 | $285 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 352.94 | $0.170 | $60 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.54K | $0.026 | $40 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?Yes | buy | 370.37 | $0.270 | $100 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 EU sanctions on Iran by September 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.650 | $65 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 50% India tariff in effect by August 27?Yes | buy | 251.9 | $0.397 | $100 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by August 31?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.250 | $100 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek be #1 model before July?Yes | buy | 2.11K | $0.024 | $50 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Will DeepSeek be #1 model before July?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.094 | $100 | May 20, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | buy | 5.94K | $0.017 | $100 | Apr 23, 2025 |
| Will DeepSeek be #1 model before July?Yes | buy | 610.18 | $0.164 | $100 | Mar 25, 2025 |
| Will DeepSeek be #1 model before July?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.131 | $150 | Mar 24, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek be #1 model before April?Yes | buy | 3.67K | $0.014 | $50 | Mar 24, 2025 |