Latest trade
Jul 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 2:42 PM UTC.
Analytics
arielduncan has made $6.06 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-31 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 2:42 PM UTC.
$5.67 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 30 markets; 72.0% were buys. They run from Feb 17, 2025 UTC to Jul 21, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in July?No | buy | 23.51 | $0.999 | $23.49 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-31 20:31 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-21 14:42 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-21 14:42 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-31 20:31 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $15.92 and losing ones cost $9.87 across the latest 50 settled positions. 60% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $11.82 on “Will Union St.-Gilloise beat Ajax Amsterdam?” (No); the largest loss, $2.08 on “Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 21 Jul 2026. It has traded 51 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 7.3 |
| $0.999 |
| $7.29 |
| Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will XRP reach $3.00 in June?No | buy | 19.2 | $0.996 | $19.12 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?No | buy | 2.69 | $0.999 | $2.69 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close above $360 end of March?No | buy | 23.92 | $0.998 | $23.87 | Mar 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in January?No | buy | 24.45 | $0.999 | $24.43 | Jan 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $615 end of November?No | buy | 26.28 | $0.997 | $26.21 | Nov 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will Solana dip to $120 in October?No | buy | 26.43 | $0.916 | $24.2 | Oct 17, 2025 UTC |
 Will XRP dip to $1.9 in July?No | buy | 2.89 | $0.994 | $2.87 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in June?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.999 | $2.11 | Jun 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will Solana dip to $110 in May?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.994 | $1.21 | May 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1200 in May?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.999 | $2.13 | May 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in May?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.995 | $2.1 | May 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April?No | buy | 1.48 | $0.999 | $1.48 | Apr 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April?No | buy | 1.68 | $0.999 | $1.68 | Apr 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $1800 on Apr 18?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.990 | $1.44 | Apr 17, 2025 UTC |
 Solana all time high by March 31?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.999 | $2.01 | Mar 24, 2025 UTC |
 Ethereum above $2,200 on March 14?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.999 | $2.3 | Mar 14, 2025 UTC |
 Solana above $145 on March 14?No | buy | 2.29 | $0.997 | $2.28 | Mar 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 1K | $0.998 | $1K | Mar 14, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 1K | $0.999 | $1K | Mar 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 1.01K | $0.998 | $1.01K | Mar 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 1.01K | $0.999 | $1.01K | Mar 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 1.01K | $0.998 | $1.01K | Mar 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 1.01K | $0.999 | $1.01K | Mar 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 1.04K | $0.998 | $1.04K | Mar 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 1.04K | $0.999 | $1.04K | Mar 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 1.04K | $0.996 | $1.04K | Mar 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 1.04K | $0.998 | $1.04K | Mar 13, 2025 UTC |
 Bitcoin above $99,000 on February 28?No | buy | 1.83 | $0.994 | $1.82 | Feb 27, 2025 UTC |
 Will XRP reach $3.20 by February 28 2025?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.999 | $1.55 | Feb 27, 2025 UTC |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $97000 and $99000 on Feb 28?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.998 | $1.06 | Feb 27, 2025 UTC |
 Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-02-25?Yes | sell | 1.66 | $0.360 | $0.6 | Feb 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-02-25?Yes | sell | 14.5 | $0.360 | $5.22 | Feb 22, 2025 UTC |
 Silva vs. BaghdasaryanSilva | sell | 9.71 | $0.810 | $7.87 | Feb 21, 2025 UTC |
| Silva vs. BaghdasaryanSilva | sell | 6.83 | $0.810 | $5.53 | Feb 21, 2025 UTC |
| Silva vs. BaghdasaryanSilva | sell | 6.18 | $0.810 | $5.01 | Feb 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-02-25?Yes | buy | 16.16 | $0.360 | $5.82 | Feb 21, 2025 UTC |
| Silva vs. BaghdasaryanSilva | buy | 0.01 | $0.800 | $0.01 | Feb 21, 2025 UTC |
| Silva vs. BaghdasaryanSilva | buy | 8.11 | $0.800 | $6.49 | Feb 21, 2025 UTC |
| Silva vs. BaghdasaryanSilva | buy | 6.83 | $0.800 | $5.46 | Feb 21, 2025 UTC |
| Silva vs. BaghdasaryanSilva | buy | 7.77 | $0.800 | $6.22 | Feb 21, 2025 UTC |
| Silva vs. BaghdasaryanSilva | sell | 16.78 | $0.810 | $13.59 | Feb 21, 2025 UTC |
| Silva vs. BaghdasaryanSilva | buy | 16.78 | $0.790 | $13.26 | Feb 21, 2025 UTC |
 Joshua Buatsi vs. Callum SmithSmith | sell | 31.78 | $0.360 | $11.44 | Feb 20, 2025 UTC |
| Joshua Buatsi vs. Callum SmithSmith | buy | 31.78 | $0.360 | $11.44 | Feb 20, 2025 UTC |
 Will Everton win on 2025-02-22?Yes | sell | 7.96 | $0.380 | $3.02 | Feb 19, 2025 UTC |
| Will Everton win on 2025-02-22?Yes | buy | 7.96 | $0.380 | $3.02 | Feb 19, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ferrari record the fastest lap at 2025 F1 Winter Testing?Yes | sell | 15.51 | $0.310 | $4.81 | Feb 17, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ferrari record the fastest lap at 2025 F1 Winter Testing?Yes | buy | 15.51 | $0.320 | $4.96 | Feb 17, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.