Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETUp | buy | 20.1 | $0.510 | $10.25 | Jul 11, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 21.08 |
| $0.510 |
| $10.75 |
| Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?No | sell | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.974 | $4.87 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.978 | $4.89 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?No | buy | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan be arrested in 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "UFC" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | sell | 20 | $0.690 | $13.8 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-07?Yes | buy | 18.45 | $0.560 | $10.33 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Powell say "Tariff" 13+ times during January press conference?Yes | buy | 14.33 | $0.610 | $8.74 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.998 | $2.01 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Ron Paul as next Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Ron Paul as next Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.999 | $10.74 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 14.39K | $0.001 | $14.39 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 14.47 | $0.994 | $14.38 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 14.48 | $0.994 | $14.39 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 14.43 | $0.997 | $14.39 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 14.43 | $0.998 | $14.4 | Sep 5, 2025 |
 Will Meta have the top AI model on August 31?No | sell | 14.44 | $0.997 | $14.4 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 14.44 | $0.999 | $14.43 | Aug 21, 2025 |
 Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | sell | 14.46 | $0.998 | $14.43 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 14.46 | $0.999 | $14.45 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 Will Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 14.49 | $0.997 | $14.45 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Will Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 14.5 | $0.998 | $14.47 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 14.59 | $0.992 | $14.47 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 14.59 | $0.993 | $14.49 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 14.56 | $0.995 | $14.49 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 14.57 | $0.996 | $14.51 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 14.21 | $0.450 | $6.39 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 14.21 | $0.540 | $7.67 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 14.71 | $0.996 | $14.65 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.997 | $14.67 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on July 31?No | sell | 15 | $0.978 | $14.67 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 15.01 | $0.992 | $14.89 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will FIT-U hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | sell | 14.98 | $0.994 | $14.89 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will FIT-U hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 14.99 | $0.996 | $14.93 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Gavin Newsom be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 14.97 | $0.997 | $14.93 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom be the first leader out in 2025?No | buy | 14.98 | $0.998 | $14.95 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will Jaime Mulet win the Chilean presidential election?No | sell | 14.98 | $0.998 | $14.95 | Jul 12, 2025 |
| Will Jaime Mulet win the Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 14.98 | $0.999 | $14.97 | Jul 12, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11?Up | buy | 14.96 | $0.999 | $14.95 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 14.98 | $0.998 | $14.95 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 14.98 | $0.999 | $14.97 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Eduardo Artés win the Chilean presidential election?No | sell | 15.02 | $0.997 | $14.97 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Will Eduardo Artés win the Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 15.03 | $0.997 | $14.98 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on July 31?No | sell | 15.01 | $0.998 | $14.98 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 15.01 | $0.999 | $14.99 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | sell | 15.02 | $0.998 | $14.99 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 15.02 | $0.999 | $15 | Jul 9, 2025 |