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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 74.28 | $0.001 | $0.07 | Jul 17, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 15.38 |
| $0.015 |
| $0.23 |
| Jul 17, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 6AM ETDown | buy | 110.69 | $0.099 | $11 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETDown | buy | 9.64 | $0.104 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETUp | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETDown | sell | 3.22 | $0.350 | $1.13 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETDown | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETUp | sell | 3.57 | $0.090 | $0.32 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETDown | sell | 4.76 | $0.040 | $0.19 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETUp | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETDown | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETDown | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETDown | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETUp | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETDown | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETDown | sell | 4.16 | $0.420 | $1.75 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETDown | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETDown | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETUp | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETDown | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETDown | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No | sell | 15.38 | $0.583 | $8.97 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETDown | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 23.11 | $0.018 | $0.42 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.003 | $0.6 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No | buy | 31.61 | $0.032 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 28?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 26?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will USD be between 1.8M and 1.9M Iranian rials on June 30?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?Yes | buy | 26.49 | $0.038 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 74.29 | $0.013 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.056 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.065 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 99.38 | $0.010 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 850.65 | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.054 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 15.87 | $0.063 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates in June?Yes | buy | 136.03 | $0.007 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |