Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.500 | $11 | Jun 22, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 57 |
| $0.520 |
| $29.64 |
| Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 51 | $0.640 | $32.64 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 51 | $0.640 | $32.64 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 31 | $0.954 | $29.57 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 16 | $0.863 | $13.81 | May 26, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 37 | $0.863 | $31.93 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | sell | 30 | $0.963 | $28.89 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.08 | $0.320 | $2.59 | May 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 83 | $0.410 | $34.03 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | sell | 35 | $0.964 | $33.74 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 35 | $0.964 | $33.74 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 69 | $0.031 | $2.14 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | buy | 32 | $0.937 | $29.98 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 34 | $0.961 | $32.67 | May 24, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 47 | $0.700 | $32.9 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.986 | $29.58 | May 23, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.710 | $3.55 | May 20, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 46 | $0.710 | $32.66 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 30 | $0.985 | $29.55 | May 20, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | buy | 79 | $0.048 | $3.79 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 9 | $0.967 | $8.7 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before July?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.965 | $1.09 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 35% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | buy | 1.76 | $0.986 | $1.74 | May 24, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.979 | $1.3 | May 4, 2025 |
 Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 8 | $0.970 | $7.76 | Apr 20, 2025 |
| Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 8 | $0.955 | $7.64 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Will the Titans draft a Quarterback?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.969 | $7.75 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?No | sell | 8 | $0.982 | $7.86 | Apr 18, 2025 |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?No | buy | 8 | $0.980 | $7.84 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 9 | $0.960 | $8.64 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 300–324 times April 11–18?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.003 | $0.05 | Apr 15, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 300–324 times April 11–18?Yes | sell | 52 | $0.006 | $0.31 | Apr 15, 2025 |
| Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 9 | $0.962 | $8.66 | Apr 15, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 300–324 times April 11–18?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.021 | $1.26 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon 1,000-1,249 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?No | buy | 10 | $0.972 | $9.72 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 6-9%?No | buy | 10 | $0.970 | $9.7 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 10 | $0.975 | $9.75 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before July?No | buy | 11 | $0.956 | $10.52 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Trump signs national abortion ban?No | sell | 10 | $0.973 | $9.73 | Apr 6, 2025 |
| Trump signs national abortion ban?No | buy | 13 | $0.964 | $12.53 | Apr 4, 2025 |
 Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.324 | $7.45 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.326 | $12.39 | Apr 1, 2025 |
 Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.957 | $12.44 | Mar 24, 2025 |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.960 | $12.48 | Mar 24, 2025 |
 Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 13 | $0.987 | $12.83 | Mar 23, 2025 |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 13 | $0.986 | $12.82 | Mar 22, 2025 |
 Will Jerome Powell say "Tariff" during the March meeting?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.969 | $12.6 | Mar 17, 2025 |
 Will 'Black Bag' gross between 5-7m on opening weekend?No | buy | 15 | $0.765 | $11.48 | Mar 15, 2025 |