Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on July 16?Yes | sell | 4.76 | $0.130 | $0.62 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 0.13 |
| $0.549 |
| $0.07 |
| Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 16?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on July 16?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.49 | $0.660 | $0.98 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on July 15?Yes | sell | 3.64 | $0.190 | $0.69 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 15?No | sell | 0.15 | $0.999 | $0.15 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on July 15?Yes | sell | 0.36 | $0.310 | $0.11 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 15?Yes | sell | 3.66 | $0.120 | $0.44 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on July 15?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 15?No | sell | 0.18 | $0.840 | $0.15 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 15?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.840 | $0.02 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 15?No | sell | 0.25 | $0.830 | $0.21 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 15?No | sell | 0.41 | $0.810 | $0.33 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 15?No | sell | 0.3 | $0.780 | $0.23 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 15?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETDown | buy | 4.76 | $0.420 | $2 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETDown | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETDown | buy | 4.76 | $0.420 | $2 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETDown | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 15?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?No | sell | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.42 | $0.640 | $0.91 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | sell | 1.85 | $0.280 | $0.52 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Intel (INTC) Q2 adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) 42%-44%?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.086 | $0.34 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | sell | 1.23 | $0.710 | $0.87 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.26 | $0.810 | $1.02 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.290 | $0.58 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 2.27 | $0.450 | $1.02 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will the median home value in the US be between $426,000 and $433,000 on September 30?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.658 | $0.82 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?No | sell | 2.43 | $0.330 | $0.8 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | sell | 3.33 | $0.260 | $0.87 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No | sell | 2.08 | $0.200 | $0.42 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Yes | sell | 1.2 | $0.720 | $0.86 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | sell | 1.58 | $0.550 | $0.87 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $426,000 and $433,000 on September 30?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Intel (INTC) Q2 adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) 42%-44%?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |