Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10–$2.20 in August? | Yes | 7.58 | $0.264 | $2.64 | +$0.64 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | 20h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 9.52 |
| $0.210 |
| $1.95 |
| -$0.05 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of September 7 2026? | Yes | 3.03 | $0.660 | $0.68 | -$1.32 |
| buy |
| 3.03 |
| $0.660 |
| $2 |
| 1d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Yes | sell | 2.77 | $0.670 | $1.86 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.350 | $2.19 | 1d ago |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.82 | $0.140 | $0.53 | 1d ago |
 Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 7 2026?No | sell | 2.81 | $0.380 | $1.07 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?No | sell | 2.73 | $0.630 | $1.72 | 1d ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.33 | $0.530 | $1.76 | 1d ago |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?No | sell | 6.45 | $0.290 | $1.87 | 1d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 4.16 | $0.460 | $1.91 | 1d ago |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | sell | 2.02 | $0.955 | $1.93 | 1d ago |
| Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?No | sell | 3.27 | $0.690 | $2.26 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | 1d ago |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 7 2026?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | 2d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | 2d ago |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $112.50 Week of September 7 2026?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | 2d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?No | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | 3d ago |
 Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | 6d ago |
| Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?No | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | 6d ago |
| Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10–$2.20 in August?Yes | buy | 7.58 | $0.264 | $2 | 8d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | 8d ago |
 Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?Yes | buy | 6.85 | $0.292 | $2 | 9d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | 19d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No | buy | 3.29 | $0.607 | $2 | 20d ago |
 Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | 21d ago |
 Will Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?No | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | 22d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?No | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | 22d ago |
 Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | 27d ago |
 Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | 28d ago |
 SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13?Up | buy | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2 | 28d ago |
 Will Trump say "Hottest" during remarks in New York?No | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | 28d ago |
| Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | 29d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?No | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?Down | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?No | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |