Latest trade
Jun 15, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 8:33 AM UTC.
Analytics
Carlton471 has made $5.08 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 24 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-04-27 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jun 15, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 8:33 AM UTC.
$57.92 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 17 markets; 46.0% were buys. They run from Mar 31, 2026 UTC to Jun 15, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 0.75 | $0.833 | $0.66 | +$0.04 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETDown | buy | 26 | $0.400 | $10.4 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-04-27 01:51 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 08:33 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 08:33 UTC
polymarket positions
26 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-04-27 01:51 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $32.22 and losing ones cost $16.3 across 24 settled positions. 33.3% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $17.35 on “Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?” (Yes); the largest loss, $3.36 on “Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 15 Jun 2026. It has traded 23 markets. Its open positions are worth $0.66 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 10 |
| $0.889 |
| $8.89 |
| Apr 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will France win Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 51 | $0.889 | $45.34 | Apr 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will France win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 61 | $0.888 | $54.17 | Apr 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No | sell | 12 | $0.900 | $10.8 | Apr 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No | buy | 12 | $0.893 | $10.72 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No | sell | 62 | $0.878 | $54.44 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No | buy | 62 | $0.871 | $54 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?Yes | sell | 108 | $0.503 | $54.32 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.514 | $2.57 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?Yes | buy | 103 | $0.514 | $52.94 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?Yes | sell | 76 | $0.482 | $36.63 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?Yes | buy | 76 | $0.476 | $36.18 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?No | sell | 73 | $0.741 | $54.09 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?No | buy | 73 | $0.787 | $57.45 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?No | sell | 68 | $0.846 | $57.53 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?No | buy | 68 | $0.848 | $57.66 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | sell | 85 | $0.747 | $63.5 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 85 | $0.739 | $62.82 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 77 | $0.820 | $63.14 | Apr 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 77 | $0.826 | $63.6 | Apr 19, 2026 UTC |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | sell | 72 | $0.808 | $58.18 | Apr 19, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | buy | 72 | $0.799 | $57.53 | Apr 19, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | sell | 41 | $0.844 | $34.6 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.844 | $21.94 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | buy | 67 | $0.897 | $60.1 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.867 | $60.69 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.868 | $6.94 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | buy | 62 | $0.868 | $53.82 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | sell | 75 | $0.303 | $22.72 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 75 | $0.336 | $25.2 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | sell | 118 | $0.533 | $62.89 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | buy | 118 | $0.546 | $64.43 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 960 | $0.973 | $934.08 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 960 | $0.975 | $936 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 990 | $0.945 | $935.55 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 990 | $0.945 | $935.55 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 597.36 | $0.830 | $495.81 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 530.64 | $0.830 | $440.43 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 1.13K | $0.829 | $935.11 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?No | sell | 222.2 | $0.867 | $192.65 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?No | sell | 823 | $0.867 | $713.54 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?No | sell | 32.8 | $0.867 | $28.44 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?No | buy | 918.46 | $0.869 | $798.14 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?No | buy | 159.54 | $0.869 | $138.64 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 97 | $0.832 | $80.7 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 1.14K | $0.833 | $949.83 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 1.24K | $0.833 | $1.03K | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?Yes | sell | 815 | $0.974 | $793.81 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?Yes | sell | 148 | $0.974 | $144.15 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.