Latest trade
Sep 28, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 1:26 AM UTC.
Analytics
FrostveilCassianAurelian is down $68.36 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 5 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 28, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 1:26 AM UTC.
$71.3 median trade
Its latest 11 trades covered 9 markets; 81.8% were buys. They run from Apr 24, 2026 UTC to Sep 28, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 26.97 | $0.890 | $2.16 | -$21.84 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 26.97 | $0.890 | $24 | 26d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-24 03:48 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 01:26 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
11 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 01:26 UTC
polymarket positions
6 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-24 03:48 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $270.65 and losing ones cost $0.06 across 5 settled positions. 80% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $143.99 on “Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates” (Seattle Mariners); the largest loss, $0.06 on “Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 28 Sep 2026. It has traded 9 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.16 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 23.93 |
| $0.965 |
| $23.09 |
| Sep 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 23.93 | $0.961 | $23 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 32.65 | $0.980 | $32 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 32.65 | $0.980 | $32 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
 Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh PiratesSeattle Mariners | buy | 311.32 | $0.530 | $165 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
 Spurs vs. KnicksKnicks | buy | 322.73 | $0.550 | $177.5 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati RedsAtlanta Braves | buy | 151.79 | $0.560 | $85 | May 31, 2026 UTC |
| Cavaliers vs. KnicksKnicks | buy | 328.57 | $0.700 | $230 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
| Timberwolves vs. SpursTimberwolves | buy | 297.08 | $0.240 | $71.3 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
 Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Ignacio BuseArthur Fils | buy | 205.2 | $0.850 | $174.42 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 118 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.