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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 445.29 | $0.696 | $385.17 | +$75.17 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.800 | $100 | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 356.23 |
| $0.881 |
| $356.05 |
| +$42.05 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 395.28 | $0.759 | $337.96 | +$37.96 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 318.86 | $0.662 | $237.55 | +$26.55 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 281.79 | $0.823 | $226.84 | -$5.16 |
 Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? | No | 214.66 | $0.832 | $208.55 | +$30.02 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 176.02 | $0.852 | $168.1 | +$18.1 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 169.89 | $0.746 | $162.24 | +$35.58 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 125.17 | $0.879 | $123.04 | +$13.04 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 145.22 | $0.858 | $122.71 | -$1.89 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 163.4 | $0.797 | $115.2 | -$15.03 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 115.92 | $0.661 | $108.39 | +$31.79 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 126.15 | $0.729 | $107.03 | +$15.03 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 117.65 | $0.850 | $102.94 | +$2.94 |
 Ebola pandemic in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.900 | $97.05 | +$7.05 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 96.06 | $0.812 | $95.2 | +$17.2 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 139.89 | $0.722 | $90.02 | -$10.98 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | No | 100 | $0.750 | $85 | +$10 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 85.52 | $0.748 | $79.96 | +$15.96 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026? | No | 83.87 | $0.530 | $78 | +$33.5 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 76.54 | $0.810 | $64.29 | +$2.29 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 426.37 | $0.296 | $61.61 | -$64.65 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 67.11 | $0.760 | $60.73 | +$9.73 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | No | 88.76 | $0.653 | $59.47 | +$1.47 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 59.08 | $0.762 | $55.83 | +$10.83 |
| buy |
| 117.65 |
| $0.850 |
| $100 |
| 2d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 30.56 | $0.720 | $22 | 7d ago |
 Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes | buy | 30.43 | $0.690 | $21 | 7d ago |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 40.51 | $0.790 | $32 | 7d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 359.82 | $0.540 | $194.3 | 10d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 15.49 | $0.710 | $11 | 12d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 16.22 | $0.740 | $12 | 13d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 16.42 | $0.670 | $11 | 13d ago |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?No | buy | 20.63 | $0.630 | $13 | 18d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 17.42 | $0.689 | $12 | 19d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 16.44 | $0.730 | $12 | 20d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 25.24 | $0.832 | $21 | 21d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 22.39 | $0.670 | $15 | 21d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?Yes | buy | 111 | $0.964 | $107 | 21d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 16.42 | $0.670 | $11 | 21d ago |
 Will Rafael Leao join Chelsea?No | sell | 10 | $0.922 | $9.22 | 22d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | buy | 17.39 | $0.690 | $12 | 22d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 30.56 | $0.720 | $22 | 22d ago |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 30.82 | $0.649 | $20 | 22d ago |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.353 | $7.06 | 22d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 18?No | sell | 100 | $0.700 | $70 | 23d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 16?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.020 | $2 | 23d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 18?No | buy | 144.93 | $0.690 | $100 | 24d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 17?No | buy | 100 | $0.810 | $81 | 24d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 37.21 | $0.860 | $32 | 24d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 24.17 | $0.869 | $21 | 25d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 16?No | sell | 145.57 | $0.530 | $77.15 | 25d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 14.63 | $0.820 | $12 | 25d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 16?No | buy | 145.57 | $0.694 | $101 | 25d ago |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | sell | 32.39 | $0.120 | $3.89 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 15?No | buy | 6 | $0.940 | $5.64 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 14?No | buy | 126.58 | $0.790 | $100 | 26d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 32.39 | $0.710 | $23 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 14?No | buy | 111.76 | $0.895 | $100 | 27d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 27.56 | $0.726 | $20 | 28d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | sell | 53.3 | $0.280 | $14.94 | 28d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 81.97 | $0.610 | $50 | 28d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 147.06 | $0.680 | $100 | 28d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 33.9 | $0.590 | $20 | 28d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 32.35 | $0.680 | $22 | 28d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 25.4 | $0.630 | $16 | 28d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 12?No | buy | 118.34 | $0.845 | $100 | 29d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 13?No | buy | 113.14 | $0.884 | $100 | 29d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 21.82 | $0.550 | $12 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.900 | $50 | 29d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 53.19 | $0.940 | $50 | 29d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | buy | 30.59 | $0.850 | $26 | 29d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 10?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.950 | $7.6 | 29d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 10?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.024 | $2.42 | Aug 10, 2026 |