Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Brad Lander’s vote share be between 6% and 9% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.985 | $0.99 | Jul 20, 2025 |
Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes| sell |
| 1.15 |
| $0.986 |
| $1.13 |
| Jul 20, 2025 |
| Will Brad Lander’s vote share be less than 6% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?No | sell | 1.86 | $0.993 | $1.85 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 1?No | sell | 3.12 | $0.998 | $3.11 | Jul 19, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on July 4?Yes | buy | 1.36K | $0.001 | $1.36 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Brad Lander’s vote share be between 6% and 9% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.999 | $1.01 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will Palmeiras beat Chelsea in regulation time?No | buy | 1.88 | $0.780 | $1.47 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 1?No | buy | 1.68 | $0.999 | $1.68 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.995 | $1.15 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $109K on July 4 at 5PM ET?No | buy | 1.8 | $0.610 | $1.1 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will "Jurassic World: Rebirth" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 40–49?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.946 | $1.91 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 0.95-0.99ºC in June 2025?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.999 | $1.1 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Brad Lander’s vote share be less than 6% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?No | buy | 1.86 | $0.999 | $1.86 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $78m?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.986 | $1.35 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Will reconciliation bill be passed by June 30?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.916 | $1.93 | Jun 12, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 2.59 | $0.590 | $1.53 | Jun 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be less than 45.0% on June 13?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.956 | $1.37 | Jun 12, 2025 |
 Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the 2025 NBA Playoffs in scoring?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.998 | $1.27 | Jun 12, 2025 |
 Will FC Porto win Group A at the FIFA Club World Cup?No | buy | 2.36 | $0.610 | $1.44 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?No | buy | 1.8 | $0.610 | $1.1 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-1?No | buy | 1.99 | $0.820 | $1.63 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 1?No | buy | 1.44 | $0.992 | $1.43 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will Yoon leave South Korea before March?No | sell | 1.17 | $0.989 | $1.16 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Will o3-mini be better than DeepSeek before March?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.982 | $1.14 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 2025 February hottest on record?No | sell | 1.81 | $0.992 | $1.8 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Bank of England rate cut in March meeting?No | sell | 2.27 | $0.900 | $2.04 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Lula out before April?No | sell | 3.39 | $0.968 | $3.28 | Feb 26, 2025 |
| Bank of England rate cut in March meeting?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.730 | $1.66 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Lula out before April?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.976 | $1.37 | Feb 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Elon say "Kickback" during their Feb 18 interview?Yes | buy | 2.16 | $0.900 | $1.94 | Feb 15, 2025 |
| Lula out before April?No | buy | 1.99 | $0.976 | $1.94 | Feb 12, 2025 |
| Will o3-mini be better than DeepSeek before March?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.950 | $1.11 | Feb 11, 2025 |
| 2025 February hottest on record?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.969 | $1.76 | Feb 11, 2025 |
| Will Yoon leave South Korea before March?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.994 | $1.17 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 TikTok on App Store again before March?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.930 | $1.22 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Baylor vs. HoustonHouston | buy | 2 | $0.950 | $1.9 | Feb 11, 2025 |
| Ohio vs. Bowling GreenBowling Green | buy | 2 | $0.970 | $1.94 | Feb 10, 2025 |