Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 6.37K | $0.969 | $6.33K | +$153.94 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | buy | 197.36 | $0.590 | $116.44 | 8d ago |
 |
| No |
| 3.8K |
| $0.469 |
| $3.28K |
| +$1.5K |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 4K | $0.563 | $3.02K | +$770 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026? | No | 3K | $0.984 | $3K | +$46.5 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 3K | $0.827 | $2.97K | +$494.5 |
| Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | No | 3K | $0.941 | $2.91K | +$85.5 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 3K | $0.860 | $2.77K | +$194.99 |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.31K | $0.745 | $2.18K | +$460.89 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 1.95K | $0.560 | $1.36K | +$273.14 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.4K | $0.685 | $1.32K | +$364.91 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.780 | $935 | +$155 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 1K | $0.810 | $909.5 | +$99.5 |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | No | 1K | $0.715 | $680 | -$35 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 4.42K | $0.276 | $640.92 | -$579.6 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 500 | $0.760 | $467.5 | +$87.5 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | No | 1K | $0.350 | $465 | +$115 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2K | $0.220 | $460 | +$20 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 2.92K | $0.140 | $452.5 | +$43.79 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 500 | $0.660 | $442.5 | +$112.5 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 400.01 | $0.860 | $380.01 | +$36 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 263 | $0.700 | $223.55 | +$39.45 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.450 | $135 | -$315 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 79 | $0.770 | $65.18 | +$4.35 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 349.38 | $0.185 | $64.63 | +$0 |
 Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 22.58K | $0.002 | $56.45 | +$11.29 |
| buy |
| 1.49K |
| $0.996 |
| $1.48K |
| 9d ago |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | buy | 120 | $0.540 | $64.8 | 20d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | 21d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | 21d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 520.12 | $0.330 | $171.54 | 23d ago |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by August 31?Yes | buy | 125.21 | $0.210 | $26.29 | 23d ago |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.210 | $1.06 | 28d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.998 | $1.05K | 28d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 456.14 | $0.220 | $100.35 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.891 | $5.42 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.330 | $33 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 498.76 | $0.890 | $443.9 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.660 | $19.8 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.440 | $88 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 980.67 | $0.436 | $427.57 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?No | buy | 98 | $0.778 | $76.24 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 476.28 | $0.510 | $242.9 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 110.6 | $0.474 | $52.41 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?No | buy | 400 | $0.606 | $242.4 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?No | buy | 600 | $0.589 | $353.4 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?No | buy | 227.01 | $0.581 | $131.81 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?No | buy | 49.4 | $0.850 | $41.99 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?No | buy | 20 | $0.850 | $17 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?No | buy | 555.07 | $0.840 | $466.26 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.236 | $35.36 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.46 | $0.963 | $39.91 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?No | buy | 387.53 | $0.576 | $223.22 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?No | buy | 360.5 | $0.572 | $206.18 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?No | buy | 1.03K | $0.550 | $567.75 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?No | buy | 500 | $0.450 | $225 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.430 | $86 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.480 | $36 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?No | buy | 317.99 | $0.338 | $107.44 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?No | buy | 16 | $0.650 | $10.4 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?Yes | buy | 89.18 | $0.880 | $78.48 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?No | buy | 1.07K | $0.815 | $872.16 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Graham Platner drop out by July 13?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.990 | $49.5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Graham Platner drop out by July 13?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.990 | $19.8 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | buy | 908.51 | $0.170 | $154.45 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.89K | $0.140 | $404.27 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 136.23 | $0.210 | $28.61 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?No | buy | 10K | $0.999 | $9.99K | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?No | buy | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.100 | $6 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 252.35 | $0.860 | $217.02 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 142.69 | $0.190 | $27.11 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.290 | $290 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will United States win on 2026-06-19?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.620 | $1.24K | Jun 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.25 | $0.510 | $0.13 | Jun 19, 2026 |