Latest trade
Apr 8, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 17, 3:16 PM UTC.
Analytics
BlueHorseshoe86 has made $440.07K on Polymarket, #468 on Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 20 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-17 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Apr 8, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 17, 3:16 PM UTC.
$884.19 median trade
Its latest 158 trades covered 19 markets; 83.5% were buys. They run from Dec 3, 2025 UTC to Apr 8, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
83.1% from three wins
Its three largest wins made up this share of all gains across 20 settled positions.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | sell | 3.73 | $0.999 | $3.73 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
|
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-17 12:32 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-17 15:16 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
158 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-17 15:16 UTC
polymarket positions
21 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-04-08 01:27 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $454.73K and losing ones cost $14.66K across 20 settled positions. 60% of them closed in profit. The three largest wins account for 83.1% of all gains.
The largest win was $192.25K on “Maduro out by March 31, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $10.66K on “Maduro out in 2025?” (Yes).
It first traded on 3 Dec 2025 and most recently on 8 Apr 2026, 192 days ago. It has traded 19 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 13.7K |
| $0.994 |
| $13.62K |
| Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes | sell | 35.35K | $0.993 | $35.11K | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | sell | 60.88K | $0.993 | $60.47K | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | sell | 1.63K | $0.990 | $1.61K | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | sell | 62.3K | $0.993 | $61.86K | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.994 | $9.94K | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.420 | $503.16 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.440 | $1.76K | Apr 6, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 9.29K | $0.300 | $2.79K | Apr 6, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 5.43K | $0.290 | $1.57K | Apr 6, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.13K | $0.280 | $315.19 | Apr 6, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes | buy | 13.2K | $0.380 | $5.02K | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes | buy | 6K | $0.550 | $3.3K | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | sell | 53.78K | $0.290 | $15.6K | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | sell | 10.81K | $0.120 | $1.3K | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | sell | 9.9K | $0.130 | $1.29K | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | sell | 6.7K | $0.300 | $2.01K | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | sell | 9.86K | $0.130 | $1.28K | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | sell | 3.9K | $0.140 | $545.88 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | sell | 18K | $0.300 | $5.4K | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | sell | 2.4K | $0.312 | $749.7 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.400 | $4K | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.9K | $0.400 | $760 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.398 | $3.98K | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 3.58K | $0.400 | $1.43K | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.360 | $1.8K | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.330 | $1.65K | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.230 | $690 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.350 | $3.5K | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.240 | $2.4K | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 7K | $0.320 | $2.24K | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 18K | $0.090 | $1.62K | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 8K | $0.220 | $1.76K | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 8K | $0.320 | $2.56K | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.300 | $240 | Mar 19, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.330 | $1.32K | Mar 19, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 1.4K | $0.210 | $294 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 15K | $0.370 | $5.55K | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 294.24 | $0.360 | $105.93 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 29K | $0.360 | $10.44K | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.280 | $1.4K | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.280 | $1.12K | Mar 17, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 1.4K | $0.290 | $406 | Mar 17, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | sell | 20.13K | $0.110 | $2.21K | Mar 17, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 6K | $0.280 | $1.68K | Mar 17, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.270 | $1.35K | Mar 17, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.410 | $1.03K | Mar 17, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.270 | $810 | Mar 17, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 8K | $0.280 | $2.24K | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.