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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 107.59 | $0.828 | $103.77 | +$14.67 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nothing Ever Happens: MayNothing | sell | 115.45 | $0.990 | $114.3 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 363.93 |
| $0.412 |
| $63.69 |
| -$86.31 |
 Discord IPO before 2027? | No | 23.37 | $0.428 | $19.98 | +$9.98 |
 Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? | No | 13.7 | $0.730 | $13.04 | +$3.04 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 12.79 | $0.860 | $12.09 | +$1.09 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto | Nothing | 11.94 | $0.921 | $11.59 | +$0.59 |
 Alcatraz reopened in 2026? | No | 10.94 | $0.709 | $10.74 | +$2.98 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10.55 | +$0.55 |
 Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10.45 | +$0.45 |
| Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026? | No | 10.78 | $0.928 | $10.45 | +$0.45 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 7.46 | $0.670 | $6.46 | +$1.46 |
 Epstein storage units raided in 2026? | No | 6.58 | $0.760 | $6.02 | +$1.02 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 41.49 | $0.241 | $5.87 | -$4.13 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | Yes | 10 | $0.260 | $4.85 | +$2.25 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? | Yes | 10 | $0.360 | $3.85 | +$0.25 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | No | 20.94 | $0.478 | $2.2 | -$7.8 |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? | No | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1.94 | +$0.94 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1.61 | +$0.61 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1.57 | +$0.57 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1.47 | +$0.47 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1.27 | +$0.27 |
 Will Trump nationalize elections? | No | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1.23 | +$0.23 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | No | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? | No | 1.22 | $0.819 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
 Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? | No | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| sell |
| 50 |
| $0.750 |
| $37.5 |
| May 22, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 222.22 | $0.910 | $202.22 | May 22, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: MayNothing | buy | 115.46 | $0.866 | $100 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 41.49 | $0.241 | $10 | May 14, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 115.21 | $0.217 | $25 | May 14, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 222.22 | $0.450 | $100 | May 14, 2026 |
 UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Sean Strickland | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 1.36 | $0.860 | $1.17 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?No | sell | 1.29 | $0.880 | $1.14 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?No | sell | 33.42 | $0.334 | $11.16 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?No | sell | 20.4 | $0.790 | $16.12 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?No | buy | 10.78 | $0.928 | $10 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?No | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | May 3, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | buy | 244.88 | $0.408 | $100 | May 3, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: AprilNothing | sell | 63.29 | $0.996 | $63.06 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Yes | sell | 18.03 | $0.590 | $10.64 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Kash Patel out by June 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.390 | $19.5 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Kash Patel out by April 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.846 | $8.46 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?No | sell | 10.86 | $0.940 | $10.21 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.27 | $0.500 | $1.14 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?No | sell | 1.44 | $0.800 | $1.15 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?No | buy | 26.42 | $0.757 | $20 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?No | buy | 6.61 | $0.757 | $5 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.18 | $0.965 | $5 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.52 | $0.905 | $5 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Epstein storage units raided in 2026?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi NakamotoNothing | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | buy | 119.05 | $0.420 | $50 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: AprilNothing | buy | 63.29 | $0.790 | $50 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?No | buy | 6.68 | $0.749 | $5 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 96.39 | $0.830 | $80 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.890 | $1.03 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?No | sell | 5.88 | $0.963 | $5.66 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5Under | buy | 38.63 | $0.430 | $16.61 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Alcatraz reopened in 2026?No | buy | 10.89 | $0.910 | $9.91 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?No | buy | 10.32 | $0.969 | $10 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.750 | $0.98 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump dance during UFC 327?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?Yes | buy | 126.32 | $0.792 | $100 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Panthers vs. SenatorsSenators | sell | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | Apr 9, 2026 |