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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | sell | 3.57 | $0.440 | $1.57 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 2.56 |
| $0.370 |
| $0.95 |
| Jan 13, 2026 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?Yes | sell | 2.22 | $0.410 | $0.91 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.43 | $0.280 | $0.68 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.53 | $0.570 | $0.87 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?Yes | sell | 2.75 | $0.952 | $2.62 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | sell | 3.15 | $0.940 | $2.96 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Yes | sell | 6.15 | $0.660 | $4.06 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | sell | 5.24 | $0.942 | $4.94 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.15 | $0.650 | $4 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?Yes | buy | 2.76 | $0.907 | $2.5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 5.24 | $0.954 | $5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 3.16 | $0.950 | $3 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - January 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETUp | buy | 4.48 | $0.220 | $0.99 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETDown | buy | 2.06 | $0.470 | $0.97 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down on January 12?Down | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 12?Down | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on January 11?Up | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 11?Up | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |