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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?Yes | sell | 4.83 | $0.070 | $0.34 | Apr 15, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 3.13 |
| $0.320 |
| $1 |
| Feb 8, 2026 |
Will Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes | sell | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETDown | buy | 1.17 | $0.850 | $0.99 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?Yes | sell | 1.04 | $0.998 | $1.04 | Dec 12, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Silver (SI) Up or Down on December 12?Up | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.61 | $0.800 | $1.29 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 11?Up | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.956 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETUp | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Do Kwon be sentenced to 7–9 years in prison?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.260 | $1.37 | Dec 10, 2025 |
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | sell | 2.12 | $0.540 | $1.14 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETDown | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETUp | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETUp | sell | 1.75 | $0.980 | $1.71 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETUp | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No | sell | 2.32 | $0.870 | $2.02 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Spread: Bills (-6.5)Bills | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?No | sell | 6.25 | $0.230 | $1.44 | Dec 7, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | Dec 7, 2025 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 5?Up | sell | 1.53 | $0.999 | $1.53 | Dec 5, 2025 |
Will Do Kwon be sentenced to 7–9 years in prison?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 |
Ethereum Up or Down - December 5, 1PM ETUp | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 |
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on December 5?Up | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 5?Up | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 |
Will General Mills (GIS) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 13.67 | $0.073 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 |
Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 |
Ethereum Up or Down - December 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETDown | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETUp | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETDown | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETDown | buy | 2.47 | $0.810 | $2 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 2PM ETUp | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETDown | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will Robinhood launch stock tokens in the US before 2026?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.041 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act (H.B. 1598) signed in 2025?Yes | buy | 73.32 | $0.027 | $2 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?Yes | buy | 4.84 | $0.620 | $3 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 12PM ETUp | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 12PM ETUp | sell | 33.33 | $0.190 | $6.33 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 12PM ETUp | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETUp | buy | 7.14 | $0.420 | $3 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETUp | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 4?Up | sell | 5.06 | $0.999 | $5.05 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will Dollar General (DG) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 1.11 | $0.998 | $1.11 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 4?Up | buy | 5.06 | $0.790 | $4 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETUp | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Dec 3, 2025 |