Latest trade
Jun 30, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 17, 3:39 PM UTC.
Analytics
mancasio is down $29.33 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-17 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jun 30, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 17, 3:39 PM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 400 trades covered 157 markets; 54.3% were buys. They run from Mar 23, 2026 UTC to Jun 30, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
|
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-17 13:59 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-17 15:39 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
400 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-17 15:39 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-01 06:15 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $6.57 and losing ones cost $5.13 across the latest 50 settled positions. 52% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $4.86 on “Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?” (Yes); the largest loss, $0.93 on “Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$75 in March?” (Yes).
It first traded on 19 Mar 2026 and most recently on 30 Jun 2026, 108 days ago. It has traded 219 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 12.5 |
| $0.080 |
| $1 |
| Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
| Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
 World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 4.72 | $0.212 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? AND Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | buy | 19.02 | $0.053 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? AND Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? AND Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Leicester City FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?Yes | sell | 2.18 | $0.460 | $1 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Leicester City FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?Yes | buy | 2.15 | $0.450 | $0.97 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
| Exact Score: Real Betis Balompié 2 - 2 Real Madrid CF?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.240 | $0.25 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
| Exact Score: Real Betis Balompié 0 - 0 Real Madrid CF?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.214 | $0.22 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
| Exact Score: Real Betis Balompié 0 - 0 Real Madrid CF?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
| Exact Score: Real Betis Balompié 2 - 2 Real Madrid CF?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will CD Concepción win on 2026-04-23?Yes | sell | 1.79 | $0.590 | $1.06 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will CD Concepción win on 2026-04-23?Yes | buy | 1.77 | $0.550 | $0.97 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
 Map Handicap: FUT (-2.5) vs Astralis (+2.5)FUT Esports | sell | 1.97 | $0.540 | $1.06 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
| Map Handicap: FUT (-2.5) vs Astralis (+2.5)FUT Esports | buy | 1.94 | $0.500 | $0.97 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
| Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)FUT Esports | sell | 1.59 | $0.600 | $0.95 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
| Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)FUT Esports | buy | 1.58 | $0.620 | $0.98 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
 Heat vs. WizardsHeat | sell | 1.08 | $0.975 | $1.05 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
| Spread: Bucks (-10.5)Bucks | sell | 1.56 | $0.630 | $0.98 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
| Spread: Bucks (-10.5)Bucks | buy | 1.55 | $0.630 | $0.98 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.906 | $0.93 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Deportivo Pereira vs. Once Caldas end in a draw?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Deportivo Pereira vs. Once Caldas end in a draw?Yes | sell | 1.79 | $0.490 | $0.88 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Deportivo Pereira vs. Once Caldas end in a draw?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Deportivo Pereira vs. Once Caldas end in a draw?Yes | sell | 1.92 | $0.490 | $0.94 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Deportivo Pereira vs. Once Caldas end in a draw?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
| Heat vs. WizardsHeat | buy | 1.08 | $0.920 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Deportivo Pereira vs. Once Caldas end in a draw?Yes | sell | 1.88 | $0.470 | $0.88 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.