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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.0% and 1.4%? | Yes | 50 | $0.340 | $2.28 | -$14.73 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 100 | $0.570 | $57 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 50 |
| $0.511 |
| $25.55 |
| Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | sell | 48.71 | $0.350 | $17.05 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will 3 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?No | sell | 50 | $0.450 | $22.5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.260 | $26 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.270 | $13.5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.600 | $29.98 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?No | sell | 50 | $0.647 | $32.35 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.490 | $24.5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.197 | $9.85 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will LaShonda "L.J." Holloway be the FL-04 Democratic nominee?No | sell | 50 | $0.180 | $9 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.130 | $6.5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.112 | $5.6 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.103 | $5.15 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.300 | $15 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Yes | sell | 22.18 | $0.193 | $4.28 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?No | sell | 49.29 | $0.590 | $29.08 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No | sell | 50 | $0.198 | $9.88 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.514 | $25.7 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.255 | $6.38 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.810 | $40.5 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.263 | $6.58 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.580 | $29 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.800 | $39.98 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.190 | $9.5 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Joe Strada be the FL-11 Republican nominee?No | sell | 8.07 | $0.410 | $3.31 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.310 | $15.5 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Richard Carapaz be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?Yes | sell | 16.05 | $0.780 | $12.52 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Artyom Zdunov win the 2026 Mordovia gubernatorial elections?No | sell | 50 | $0.027 | $1.37 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Mads Pedersen be awarded the Green Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?No | sell | 50.01 | $0.045 | $2.25 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Scott Timko win the special election to fill the Pennsylvania House of Representatives District 12 seat?Yes | sell | 38.45 | $0.800 | $30.74 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No | sell | 50 | $0.270 | $13.5 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.480 | $24 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.470 | $23.5 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Isaac del Toro win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?No | sell | 50 | $0.426 | $21.3 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 29, 2026?Yes | sell | 29.69 | $0.690 | $20.49 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 29, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.280 | $14 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?No | sell | 50 | $0.152 | $7.6 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 26?No | sell | 50 | $0.110 | $5.5 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.610 | $30.5 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.231 | $11.53 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Tadej Pogačar be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?No | sell | 6.45 | $0.690 | $4.45 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?No | sell | 50 | $0.580 | $29 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.194 | $5.82 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?Yes | sell | 36.75 | $0.290 | $10.66 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.570 | $28.5 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 15?No | sell | 20 | $0.450 | $9 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2T yuan?No | sell | 50 | $0.140 | $7 | Jul 23, 2026 |