Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 469.26 | $0.890 | $451.66 | +$34.06 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 469.26 | $0.890 | $417.6 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 354.36 |
| $0.984 |
| $348.69 |
| Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Cabral Libii win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No | sell | 17.44 | $0.980 | $17.08 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will Ferdinand Ngoh Ngoh win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No | sell | 33.33 | $0.974 | $32.46 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will Maurice Kamto win the Cameroon Presidential Election?No | sell | 30 | $0.965 | $28.95 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?No | sell | 28.46 | $0.969 | $27.58 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Lee Jae-myung arrested in 2025?No | sell | 29.15 | $0.948 | $27.63 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will Grok be the next CEO of X?No | sell | 38.05 | $0.963 | $36.65 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Is John McAfee alive?No | sell | 35.89 | $0.974 | $34.94 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 National League Championship?No | sell | 44.6 | $0.871 | $38.87 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 National League Championship?No | sell | 32.3 | $0.857 | $27.68 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will iPhone 17 cost $2,000 or more?No | sell | 1.64 | $0.981 | $1.61 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?No | sell | 56.48 | $0.956 | $54.01 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Plasma >$1B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Yes | sell | 49.12 | $0.896 | $44 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Yes | sell | 28.99 | $0.973 | $28.21 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?No | sell | 46.68 | $0.958 | $44.72 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 48.38 | $0.937 | $45.33 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will the next UK election be called by December 31?No | sell | 49.86 | $0.920 | $45.85 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Mark Carney out as leader of Liberals in 2025?No | sell | 50.55 | $0.941 | $47.55 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?No | sell | 60 | $0.944 | $56.64 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will Apple acquire Perplexity before September?No | sell | 29.99 | $0.955 | $28.64 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea"?No | sell | 54.47 | $0.900 | $49.02 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | sell | 11.65 | $0.983 | $11.45 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?No | sell | 59.1 | $0.941 | $55.61 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 22.19 | $0.751 | $16.66 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Gold close below $3200 at the end of 2025?No | sell | 55 | $0.645 | $35.48 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Hyperliquid hit $50 in 2025?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.798 | $23.94 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Kamala Harris announce California Governor run in 2025?No | sell | 20 | $0.961 | $19.22 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.944 | $9.44 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?No | sell | 30 | $0.831 | $24.93 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31?No | sell | 10.46 | $0.943 | $9.86 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | sell | 59.45 | $0.900 | $53.51 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport 1,250,000-1,500,000 people?No | sell | 10 | $0.987 | $9.87 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will the Detroit Tigers win the AL Central Division?Yes | sell | 59.99 | $0.940 | $56.39 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 16 | $0.947 | $15.15 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump deport 1,250,000-1,500,000 people?No | sell | 10 | $0.989 | $9.89 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?Yes | sell | 15.63 | $0.004 | $0.06 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.592 | $2.96 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 21.99 | $0.949 | $20.87 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?Yes | sell | 59.23 | $0.567 | $33.58 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | sell | 5.49 | $0.943 | $5.18 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | sell | 15 | $0.946 | $14.19 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump be impeached in 2025?No | sell | 49.01 | $0.933 | $45.73 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.939 | $4.69 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?Yes | sell | 17.27 | $0.655 | $11.31 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | sell | 8.34 | $0.984 | $8.21 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | sell | 10 | $0.985 | $9.85 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.978 | $9.78 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 2025 July hottest on record?No | sell | 43.58 | $0.992 | $43.23 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.972 | $4.86 | Aug 1, 2025 |