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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 6.67 | $0.600 | $4 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 12.11 |
| $0.280 |
| $3.39 |
| Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 8.19 | $0.600 | $4.91 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?No | sell | 26.62 | $0.290 | $7.72 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 8.9 | $0.560 | $4.98 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?No | sell | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?No | sell | 5.36 | $0.550 | $2.95 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?No | sell | 9.26 | $0.570 | $5.28 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 1, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.41 | $0.885 | $5.67 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 10.55 | $0.481 | $5.07 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or below on July 1?No | sell | 8.61 | $0.560 | $4.82 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 1?No | sell | 5.09 | $0.670 | $3.41 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.270 | $2.25 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.06 | $0.340 | $2.74 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Yes | sell | 9.36 | $0.650 | $6.08 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.53 | $0.730 | $9.15 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes | sell | 2.97 | $0.606 | $1.8 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in June?Yes | sell | 14.99 | $0.603 | $9.04 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will USD be between 1.6M and 1.7M Iranian rials on June 30?Yes | sell | 7.81 | $0.420 | $3.28 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 27?Yes | sell | 17.14 | $0.260 | $4.46 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 24.68 | $0.470 | $11.6 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.81 | $0.510 | $3.98 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 26?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.330 | $12.69 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 26?Yes | sell | 2.63 | $0.750 | $1.97 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 Week of June 22 2026?Yes | sell | 9.26 | $0.310 | $2.87 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 Week of June 22 2026?Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 9.84 | $0.610 | $6 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes | sell | 15.72 | $0.430 | $6.76 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of June 22 2026?Yes | sell | 9.27 | $0.504 | $4.67 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes | sell | 3.02 | $0.100 | $0.3 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 29.4 | $0.310 | $9.11 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 26?Yes | sell | 14.71 | $0.260 | $3.82 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.86 | $0.640 | $5.03 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.86 | $0.640 | $5.03 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 26?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.600 | $7.2 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of June 22 2026?Yes | buy | 9.28 | $0.538 | $4.99 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 26?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | sell | 10.89 | $0.720 | $7.84 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?Yes | sell | 19.04 | $0.440 | $8.38 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in June?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.667 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will USD be between 1.6M and 1.7M Iranian rials on June 30?Yes | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in June?Yes | buy | 7.49 | $0.668 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 26?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 26?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 26?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |