Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 3.7 | $0.270 | $2.94 | +$1.94 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | 28d ago |
|
| No |
| 4.72 |
| $0.212 |
| $1.64 |
| +$0.64 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 40 | $0.025 | $0.78 | -$0.22 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 90.91 | $0.011 | $0.23 | -$0.77 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Yes | 2.44 | $0.410 | $0.11 | -$0.89 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 111.11 | $0.009 | $0.06 | -$0.94 |
| buy |
| 4.72 |
| $0.212 |
| $1 |
| 28d ago |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.53 | $0.998 | $1.53 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Trump-Kennedy Center" or "Trump Kennedy" in April?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | sell | 3.44 | $0.410 | $1.41 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.154 | $1.55 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 3.22 | $0.340 | $1.09 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?No | sell | 4.52 | $0.404 | $1.83 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.141 | $1.28 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.043 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.03 | $0.989 | $1.02 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?No | sell | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No | sell | 3.33 | $0.291 | $0.97 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in February 2026?Yes | buy | 240 | $0.004 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in February 2026?Yes | buy | 184.97 | $0.005 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Anthropic CEO arrested?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.043 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.081 | $0.81 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?No | sell | 1.42 | $0.770 | $1.09 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.088 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10?Up | sell | 9.7 | $0.499 | $4.84 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10?Up | buy | 9.71 | $0.103 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.941 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10?Down | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?No | sell | 3.44 | $0.220 | $0.76 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?No | sell | 1.81 | $0.862 | $1.56 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.170 | $0.68 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.6 | $0.380 | $1.75 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.32 | $0.470 | $2.97 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Bruins vs. PenguinsBruins | sell | 1.53 | $0.500 | $0.77 | Mar 8, 2026 |