Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 13.15 |
| $0.001 |
| $0.01 |
| Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 15.74 | $0.998 | $15.71 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 15.74 | $0.740 | $11.65 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 11.23 | $0.900 | $10.11 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiYes | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | sell | 12.34 | $0.950 | $11.72 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 22.22 | $0.410 | $9.11 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin hug on Friday?No | sell | 43.44 | $0.930 | $40.4 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Putin hug on Friday?No | buy | 32.69 | $0.880 | $28.77 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Yes | sell | 10.17 | $0.993 | $10.1 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Putin hug on Friday?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Yes | buy | 10.17 | $0.983 | $10 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 55.18 | $0.700 | $38.63 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 55.18 | $0.660 | $36.42 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Will anyone say "YouTube Shorts" during the Q2 2025 Google earnings call?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will Nayib Bukele attend presidential inauguration?Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.980 | $9.07 | Jan 20, 2025 |