Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 6.9K | $0.210 | $1.45K | May 23, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 6.9K |
| $0.290 |
| $2K |
| May 15, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 1.81K | $0.790 | $1.43K | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Yes | buy | 15.42K | $0.097 | $1.5K | Mar 5, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.11K | $0.090 | $190 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 3.71K | $0.106 | $394.41 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.77K | $0.306 | $540.95 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes | buy | 750 | $0.400 | $300 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 20.22K | $0.024 | $485.31 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 3.27K | $0.175 | $572.5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 5.45K | $0.440 | $2.4K | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 1.75K | $0.400 | $700 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 750 | $0.400 | $300 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.400 | $1K | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?No | buy | 1.18K | $0.340 | $400 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.92K | $0.120 | $230 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.48K | $0.115 | $400 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes | buy | 862.07 | $0.580 | $500 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Yes | buy | 349.42 | $0.429 | $150 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.570 | $30 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes | buy | 175.44 | $0.570 | $100 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 638.3 | $0.470 | $300 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?Yes | buy | 294.43 | $0.340 | $100 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Yes | buy | 408.96 | $0.489 | $200 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 852.67 | $0.176 | $150 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 1.7K | $0.176 | $300 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.180 | $300 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 278.73 | $0.179 | $50 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 571.44 | $0.175 | $100 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.100 | $50 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 93.02 | $0.430 | $40 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.120 | $100 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.100 | $100 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 1.29K | $0.430 | $555 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 307.27 | $0.195 | $60 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?Up | buy | 1.54K | $0.130 | $200 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?No | buy | 166.7 | $0.360 | $60 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 545.57 | $0.367 | $200 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 588.24 | $0.340 | $200 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 1.47K | $0.340 | $500 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 1.14K | $0.350 | $400 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 857.14 | $0.350 | $300 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 666.67 | $0.450 | $300 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 425.23 | $0.470 | $199.86 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?Up | buy | 124.12 | $0.210 | $26.07 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?No | buy | 300.41 | $0.298 | $89.56 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 952.38 | $0.420 | $400 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?Up | buy | 1.5K | $0.210 | $315 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 666.67 | $0.450 | $300 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 444.44 | $0.450 | $200 | Mar 1, 2026 |