Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 20 | $0.480 | $9 | -$0.6 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?No | buy | 30 | $0.080 | $2.4 | 8d ago |
 |
| No |
| 10 |
| $0.750 |
| $7.85 |
| +$0.35 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.250 | $7.5 | -$17.5 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 30 | $0.200 | $5.55 | -$0.45 |
 Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 20.4 | $0.485 | $3.57 | -$6.32 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.150 | $2.7 | -$0.3 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | Yes | 40 | $0.090 | $2.6 | -$1 |
 Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 30 | $0.160 | $1.95 | -$2.85 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | No | 30 | $0.080 | $1.95 | -$0.45 |
 Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | No | 9 | $0.176 | $1.31 | -$0.27 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.095 | $0.39 | -$0.57 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 20 | $0.150 | $0.29 | -$2.71 |
 Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $0.19 | -$0.82 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.035 | $0.04 | -$0.32 |
| sell |
| 10 |
| $0.053 |
| $0.53 |
| 17d ago |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?No | sell | 10 | $0.070 | $0.7 | 17d ago |
 Modi out by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 29.99 | $0.061 | $1.83 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 74 | $0.014 | $1 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 19.6 | $0.750 | $14.7 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.770 | $15.4 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.248 | $2.48 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Khamzat Chimaev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.015 | $0.3 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Sunrisers Hyderabad win the 2026 Indian Premier League?Yes | sell | 22.5 | $0.136 | $3.06 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Delhi Capitals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.012 | $0.24 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Lucknow Super Giants win the 2026 Indian Premier League?Yes | sell | 29.99 | $0.003 | $0.09 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.004 | $0.48 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Cerebras IPO before 2027?No | sell | 100 | $0.058 | $5.79 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.099 | $4.95 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.110 | $5.5 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.128 | $6.4 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.159 | $7.95 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.098 | $2.94 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.109 | $3.27 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.128 | $3.84 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.159 | $4.77 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.098 | $1.96 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.109 | $2.18 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.128 | $2.56 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.159 | $3.18 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.005 | $0.05 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Charles Oliveira be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.9 | $0.002 | $0.03 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 4.79 | $0.300 | $1.44 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.280 | $8.96 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | sell | 497.95 | $0.011 | $5.69 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | buy | 297.95 | $0.490 | $146 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | buy | 5.39 | $0.470 | $2.53 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)Makhachev | buy | 100 | $0.740 | $74 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.570 | $22.8 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 30K | $0.001 | $34.58 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.941 | $56.43 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 1.6K | $0.002 | $3.19 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.920 | $55.2 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.06K | $0.076 | $80.56 | Sep 13, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 910 | $0.141 | $128.31 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.141 | $21.15 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 120 | $0.990 | $118.8 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.009 | $1.08 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.010 | $1.2 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 120 | $0.991 | $118.92 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?Yes | buy | 197.37 | $0.760 | $150 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 by March 31?Yes | buy | 207.59 | $0.525 | $109.04 | Dec 15, 2024 |
 Oliveira vs. ChandlerChandler | sell | 1.14K | $0.052 | $59.54 | Nov 17, 2024 |