Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $0.7 | -$0.3 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 8.18 | $0.122 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
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Real-Morale is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,414,655 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$51.93 observed lifetime PnL, 425 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 56.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x385fdd3930e592c38463a2c6e6c4a1855cbf961d
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| Yes |
| 1.39 |
| $0.080 |
| $0.08 |
| -$0.03 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Yes | 1.34 | $0.090 | $0.05 | -$0.07 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.76 | $0.110 | $0.04 | -$0.04 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 0.91 | $0.110 | $0.04 | -$0.06 |
| sell |
| 9.08 |
| $0.110 |
| $1 |
| Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETDown | buy | 4.84 | $0.500 | $2.42 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETDown | buy | 5.81 | $0.500 | $2.91 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETDown | buy | 3.93 | $0.500 | $1.97 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETDown | buy | 5.81 | $0.500 | $2.91 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETDown | buy | 4.84 | $0.500 | $2.42 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETDown | buy | 4.84 | $0.500 | $2.42 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETDown | buy | 4.84 | $0.500 | $2.42 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETDown | buy | 0.01 | $0.500 | $0 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETDown | buy | 4.84 | $0.500 | $2.42 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETDown | buy | 5.81 | $0.500 | $2.91 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETDown | buy | 5.81 | $0.500 | $2.91 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETDown | buy | 5.48 | $0.530 | $2.91 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETDown | buy | 7.1 | $0.330 | $2.34 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETUp | buy | 4.43 | $0.660 | $2.92 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETUp | buy | 10.75 | $0.220 | $2.36 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETUp | sell | 5.51 | $0.490 | $2.7 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETUp | sell | 8.13 | $0.200 | $1.63 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - February 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETUp | buy | 5.5 | $0.529 | $2.91 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETUp | buy | 5.43 | $0.500 | $2.71 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETUp | buy | 8.03 | $0.340 | $2.73 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETUp | buy | 4.78 | $0.527 | $2.52 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETDown | buy | 4.94 | $0.490 | $2.42 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETDown | buy | 4.84 | $0.500 | $2.42 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETDown | buy | 4.84 | $0.480 | $2.33 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETDown | buy | 4.84 | $0.510 | $2.47 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETDown | buy | 16.64 | $0.060 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 18, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETDown | sell | 6.66 | $0.160 | $1.07 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 18, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETDown | sell | 10.47 | $0.210 | $2.2 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 18, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETDown | buy | 5.53 | $0.240 | $1.33 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETUp | sell | 5.18 | $0.540 | $2.8 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETDown | buy | 5.32 | $0.510 | $2.71 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETUp | sell | 5.2 | $0.530 | $2.76 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETUp | buy | 5.22 | $0.520 | $2.71 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETUp | buy | 4.82 | $0.510 | $2.46 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETUp | buy | 17.34 | $0.160 | $2.77 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETUp | buy | 5.32 | $0.510 | $2.71 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETUp | buy | 4.82 | $0.510 | $2.46 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETUp | buy | 4.82 | $0.510 | $2.46 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETUp | buy | 5.32 | $0.510 | $2.71 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETDown | sell | 5.64 | $0.380 | $2.14 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETDown | buy | 7.57 | $0.360 | $2.73 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETUp | buy | 4.82 | $0.510 | $2.46 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETUp | buy | 5.43 | $0.500 | $2.71 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETUp | buy | 5.43 | $0.500 | $2.71 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETUp | buy | 5.43 | $0.500 | $2.71 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.