Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETDown | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | 12h ago |
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Best-Twig is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,829,431 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$287.84 observed lifetime PnL, 50 resolved positions, a 76.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x3778adfa8f10503a8176336a105020d484bba1ae
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 1.33 |
| $0.750 |
| $1 |
| 3d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETDown | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | 5d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETDown | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | 7d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETDown | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | 8d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETUp | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | 9d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETDown | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | 9d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | 9d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETUp | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | 10d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | 11d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETDown | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | 12d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETUp | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | 12d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | 12d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETDown | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETDown | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETDown | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETDown | sell | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETDown | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETDown | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?Yes | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETDown | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETUp | buy | 1.7 | $0.550 | $0.94 | Apr 27, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETUp | buy | 1.7 | $0.550 | $0.94 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETUp | sell | 1.41 | $0.990 | $1.4 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETUp | buy | 1.38 | $0.690 | $0.96 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETDown | buy | 1.29 | $0.750 | $0.96 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETUp | buy | 2.82 | $0.320 | $0.9 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETUp | buy | 1.79 | $0.520 | $0.93 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETUp | buy | 1.05 | $0.940 | $0.99 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETDown | buy | 1.06 | $0.930 | $0.99 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETUp | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $0.99 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETUp | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $0.99 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETUp | buy | 1.49 | $0.590 | $0.88 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETUp | sell | 1.39 | $0.990 | $1.38 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETUp | buy | 1.31 | $0.700 | $0.91 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETDown | buy | 2.05 | $0.450 | $0.92 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETDown | buy | 1.7 | $0.550 | $0.94 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETUp | buy | 6.48 | $0.620 | $4.02 | Apr 19, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETUp | buy | 4.11 | $0.590 | $2.43 | Apr 19, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.071 | $0.59 | Apr 19, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETUp | buy | 28.52 | $0.821 | $23.43 | Apr 19, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETUp | buy | 23.65 | $0.772 | $18.26 | Apr 19, 2026 |
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Yes | sell | 16.12 | $0.030 | $0.48 | Apr 19, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 142.85 | $0.003 | $0.41 | Apr 19, 2026 |
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Yes | sell | 19.77 | $0.045 | $0.89 | Apr 19, 2026 |
Kylie Jenner confirmed pregnant in 2026?Yes | sell | 107.89 | $0.158 | $17.09 | Apr 19, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETUp | buy | 2.24 | $0.850 | $1.91 | Apr 19, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETUp | buy | 1.89 | $0.610 | $1.15 | Apr 19, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETUp | sell | 7.92 | $0.030 | $0.24 | Apr 19, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETUp | buy | 7.68 | $0.580 | $4.45 | Apr 19, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.