Analytics
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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 54.89 | $0.273 | $7.41 | -$7.59 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.838 | $4.19 | 14d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 3.57 |
| $0.560 |
| $1.7 |
| -$0.3 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 4.1 | $0.244 | $0.59 | -$0.41 |
| sell |
| 2.73 |
| $0.112 |
| $0.31 |
| Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 3.74 | $0.458 | $1.71 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 5?Up | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Yes | buy | 1.24 | $0.790 | $0.98 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 17.43 | $0.574 | $10 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Juliano Floss be the next person eliminated from Big Brother Brasil 26?Yes | buy | 4.05 | $0.740 | $3 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETUp | sell | 15.77 | $0.644 | $10.15 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETDown | buy | 11.8 | $0.840 | $9.91 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETUp | buy | 5.93 | $0.490 | $2.91 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETUp | buy | 2.15 | $0.450 | $0.97 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETDown | buy | 1.34 | $0.730 | $0.98 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETUp | buy | 3.38 | $0.290 | $0.98 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETUp | buy | 2.02 | $0.480 | $0.97 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETUp | buy | 2.06 | $0.470 | $0.97 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 5.45 | $0.367 | $2 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 4.1 | $0.244 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 2.73 | $0.732 | $2 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Yes | buy | 11.43 | $0.350 | $4 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETUp | buy | 14.26 | $0.070 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETUp | buy | 1.98 | $0.490 | $0.97 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?Yes | sell | 1.33 | $0.640 | $0.85 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETUp | buy | 2.96 | $0.330 | $0.98 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETUp | buy | 1.52 | $0.640 | $0.97 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Yes | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETUp | buy | 2.15 | $0.450 | $0.97 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes | buy | 4.88 | $0.820 | $4 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.666 | $2 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETUp | buy | 8.78 | $0.224 | $1.97 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETUp | buy | 6.61 | $0.150 | $0.99 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETUp | sell | 5.81 | $0.990 | $5.75 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETUp | buy | 2.95 | $0.660 | $1.95 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETUp | buy | 2.79 | $0.700 | $1.96 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETUp | sell | 11.85 | $0.990 | $11.73 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETUp | buy | 3.88 | $0.500 | $1.94 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETUp | buy | 1.94 | $0.500 | $0.97 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETUp | buy | 1.98 | $0.490 | $0.97 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETUp | buy | 3.88 | $0.500 | $1.94 | Mar 13, 2026 |