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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 6.01K | $0.243 | $270.54 | -$1.19K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | 7d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 300 |
| $0.417 |
| $175.5 |
| +$50.5 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.275 | $57 | +$2 |
 Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027? | Yes | 257.4 | $0.078 | $55.34 | +$35.34 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 278.57 | $0.237 | $45.96 | -$20.04 |
 Will Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31? | Yes | 1.05K | $0.019 | $36.82 | +$16.91 |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | Yes | 97.1 | $0.309 | $23.79 | -$6.21 |
 Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026? | Yes | 19.44 | $0.514 | $12.82 | +$2.82 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.540 | $11.3 | +$0.5 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 34.48 | $0.290 | $9.48 | -$0.52 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | No | 31.25 | $0.320 | $8.28 | -$1.72 |
 Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 19.61 | $0.510 | $8.24 | -$1.76 |
 New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? | No | 2.7 | $0.370 | $2.6 | +$1.6 |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes | 3.23 | $0.310 | $2.45 | +$1.45 |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? | No | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1.6 | +$0.6 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1.48 | +$0.48 |
 Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1.26 | +$0.26 |
 Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 2.94 | $0.340 | $0.17 | -$0.83 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.540 |
| $10.8 |
| 12d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | 12d ago |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | 12d ago |
| Will Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.020 | $6 | 12d ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Yes | buy | 97.1 | $0.309 | $30 | 14d ago |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.280 | $50 | 14d ago |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?Yes | buy | 114.54 | $0.087 | $10 | 19d ago |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | 19d ago |
 Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 243.9 | $0.410 | $100 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance AND Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 1.5 AND Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance AND Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | buy | 503.25 | $0.194 | $97.63 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 321.19 | $0.390 | $125.26 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 321.2 | $0.311 | $100 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 203.4 | $0.317 | $64.51 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.14K | $0.003 | $6.12 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.004 | $2 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?Yes | sell | 693.62 | $0.002 | $1.39 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 83.1 | $0.036 | $2.99 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 150.08 | $0.040 | $6.03 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No | sell | 645.63 | $0.200 | $129.13 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No | buy | 345.63 | $0.579 | $200 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 83.1 | $0.120 | $10 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 150.08 | $0.133 | $20 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 171.07 | $0.585 | $100 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?Yes | buy | 313.96 | $0.032 | $10 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 204.08 | $0.490 | $100 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 357.14 | $0.560 | $200 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.14K | $0.176 | $200 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.028 | $2.83 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 99.94 | $0.100 | $10 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 754.97 | $0.530 | $400.13 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 289.86 | $0.690 | $200 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No | buy | 183.1 | $0.546 | $100 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 309.96 | $0.053 | $16.29 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 798.37 | $0.045 | $35.68 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?Yes | buy | 263.01 | $0.038 | $10 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 593.63 | $0.168 | $100 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 733.45 | $0.136 | $100 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No | sell | 161.46 | $0.650 | $104.95 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No | buy | 161.47 | $0.619 | $100 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 465.12 | $0.430 | $200 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.050 | $50 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 158.73 | $0.630 | $100 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes | sell | 303.78 | $0.590 | $179.23 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes | buy | 303.79 | $0.658 | $200 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.35K | $0.739 | $1K | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?No | buy | 151.58 | $0.660 | $100 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 102.04 | $0.098 | $10 | Jun 14, 2026 |