Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes | sell | 88.46 | $0.011 | $0.97 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 241.35 |
| $0.009 |
| $2.17 |
| Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Yemen next?Yes | sell | 191.07 | $0.013 | $2.48 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Cuba next?Yes | sell | 202.6 | $0.014 | $2.84 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 76.92 | $0.110 | $8.46 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.130 | $9.28 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?Silver | sell | 12.82 | $0.744 | $9.54 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | sell | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 12.98 | $0.850 | $11.03 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 116.89 | $0.110 | $12.86 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 142.85 | $0.120 | $17.14 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will the US strike another country first?Yes | buy | 241.36 | $0.021 | $5 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Cuba next?Yes | buy | 202.61 | $0.025 | $5 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Yemen next?Yes | buy | 191.07 | $0.026 | $5 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?Silver | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?No | sell | 19.23 | $0.900 | $17.31 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 105.26 | $0.450 | $47.37 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 58.07 | $0.290 | $16.84 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?No | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.340 | $20 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.140 | $20 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Khamenei public appearance by Friday?Yes | sell | 37.03 | $0.180 | $6.67 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?No | sell | 11.11 | $0.860 | $9.55 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?No | sell | 18.86 | $0.760 | $14.33 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Khamenei public appearance by Friday?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 56.73 | $0.108 | $6.11 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.211 | $8.46 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 56.74 | $0.176 | $10 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?No | buy | 157.5 | $0.032 | $5 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?No | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.170 | $28.33 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 122.59 | $0.163 | $20 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?Yes | buy | 612.6 | $0.082 | $50 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?No | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Oct 8, 2025 |