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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 127.6 | $0.881 | $124.66 | +$12.2 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 66.25 | $0.890 | $58.96 | 1h ago |
 |
| No |
| 96.26 |
| $0.900 |
| $87.11 |
| +$0.48 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.12K | $0.133 | $81.9 | -$67.6 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 81.97 | $0.610 | $65.99 | +$15.98 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 71.36 | $0.862 | $61.01 | -$0.49 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 54.28 | $0.912 | $52.35 | +$2.85 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | No | 56.82 | $0.880 | $50.85 | +$0.85 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 53.76 | $0.930 | $50.27 | +$0.27 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 52.08 | $0.960 | $49.74 | -$0.26 |
 Iran leadership change by October 31? | No | 52.63 | $0.950 | $49.74 | -$0.26 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | Yes | 67.19 | $0.702 | $49.39 | +$2.22 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 56.18 | $0.890 | $49.16 | -$0.84 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 714.29 | $0.070 | $46.43 | -$3.57 |
 Iran coup attempt by December 31? | No | 48.46 | $0.900 | $41.91 | -$1.7 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 40.13 | $0.950 | $37.52 | -$0.6 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 21.24 | $0.620 | $17.74 | +$4.57 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 41.47 | $0.440 | $3.73 | -$14.51 |
| sell |
| 1.94 |
| $0.720 |
| $1.4 |
| 6h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.77 | $0.720 | $0.55 | 6h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | sell | 1.33 | $0.720 | $0.96 | 7h ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 58.14 | $0.860 | $50 | 14h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | buy | 71.23 | $0.702 | $50 | 14h ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 6.28 | $0.140 | $0.88 | 19h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 66.25 | $0.755 | $50 | 1d ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 54.34 | $0.910 | $49.45 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 54.35 | $0.920 | $50 | 1d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.31 | $0.940 | $3.11 | 1d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.15 | $0.940 | $0.14 | 1d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.17 | $0.940 | $0.16 | 1d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.17 | $0.940 | $0.16 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 52.36 | $0.955 | $50 | 1d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.17 | $0.940 | $0.16 | 2d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.940 | $0.01 | 2d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | buy | 56.82 | $0.880 | $50 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 384.62 | $0.130 | $50 | 3d ago |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 52.08 | $0.960 | $50 | 3d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.17 | $0.940 | $0.16 | 4d ago |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.950 | $50 | 4d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.17 | $0.940 | $0.16 | 4d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.940 | $0.03 | 4d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.08 | $0.940 | $0.08 | 4d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.940 | $0.01 | 4d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.940 | $0.01 | 4d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.940 | $0.01 | 4d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.940 | $0.01 | 4d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.11 | $0.940 | $0.1 | 4d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.940 | $0.01 | 4d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.940 | $0.09 | 4d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.940 | $0.01 | 4d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.07 | $0.940 | $0.07 | 4d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.940 | $0.01 | 4d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.12 | $0.940 | $0.11 | 4d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.940 | $0.01 | 4d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.940 | $0.01 | 4d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.940 | $0.01 | 4d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.09 | $0.940 | $0.08 | 4d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.940 | $0.01 | 4d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.09 | $0.940 | $0.08 | 4d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.940 | $0.01 | 4d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.940 | $0.97 | 4d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.09 | $0.940 | $0.08 | 4d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.12 | $0.940 | $0.11 | 4d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.940 | $0.01 | 4d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.940 | $0.01 | 4d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.940 | $0.01 | 4d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.940 | $0.01 | 4d ago |