Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 130 | $0.763 | $112.45 | +$13.28 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 94 | $0.181 | $17.01 | 12d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 71 |
| $0.801 |
| $57.87 |
| +$1.02 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 118 | $0.248 | $53.87 | +$24.58 |
 Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | No | 37 | $0.710 | $27.2 | +$0.93 |
 Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election? | No | 9 | $0.540 | $6.08 | +$1.22 |
| sell |
| 16 |
| $0.660 |
| $10.56 |
| 12d ago |
 No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Yes | sell | 29 | $0.210 | $6.09 | 12d ago |
 Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.320 | $3.2 | 12d ago |
 Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No | sell | 4 | $0.450 | $1.8 | 12d ago |
 No one announced as next James Bond?No | sell | 2 | $0.803 | $1.61 | 12d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 31 | $0.012 | $0.37 | 12d ago |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.380 | $3.04 | 12d ago |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 12 | $0.420 | $5.04 | 12d ago |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.330 | $6.6 | 12d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.350 | $9.1 | 12d ago |
 Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.380 | $9.12 | 12d ago |
 Weed rescheduled by December 31?Yes | sell | 64 | $0.174 | $11.14 | 12d ago |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.570 | $14.25 | 12d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 170 | $0.870 | $147.9 | 12d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.062 | $1.05 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.346 | $4.84 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.346 | $5.88 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.345 | $5.87 | 19d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.370 | $4.81 | 20d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.370 | $4.81 | 20d ago |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI | sell | 36 | $0.040 | $1.44 | 20d ago |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.828 | $4.14 | 20d ago |
 Will Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.340 | $7.48 | 20d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No | sell | 17 | $0.500 | $8.5 | 20d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.550 | $24.75 | 20d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 80 | $0.890 | $71.2 | 20d ago |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | 20d ago |
 Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?No | sell | 2 | $0.920 | $1.84 | 20d ago |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2 | $0.940 | $1.88 | 20d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.950 | $15.2 | 20d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 18 | $0.993 | $17.87 | 20d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?No | sell | 31 | $0.557 | $17.27 | 20d ago |
 Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | sell | 132.99 | $0.080 | $10.64 | 20d ago |
 Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | sell | 10 | $0.770 | $7.7 | 20d ago |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.030 | $0.51 | 20d ago |
 Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?Yes | sell | 93 | $0.070 | $6.51 | 20d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.220 | $5.72 | 20d ago |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.090 | $1.98 | 20d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.100 | $4 | 20d ago |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 88 | $0.100 | $8.8 | 20d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 93 | $0.170 | $15.81 | 20d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | sell | 34 | $0.227 | $7.72 | 20d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?No | sell | 12 | $0.250 | $3 | 20d ago |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.290 | $5.8 | 20d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 89 | $0.310 | $27.59 | 20d ago |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | sell | 54 | $0.354 | $19.12 | 20d ago |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | sell | 56 | $0.350 | $19.6 | 20d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 25 | $0.360 | $9 | 20d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.377 | $11.31 | 20d ago |