Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 4.87 | $0.230 | $1.12 | Sep 30, 2025 |
|
| sell |
| 3 |
| $0.220 |
| $0.66 |
| Sep 30, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.9 | $0.680 | $1.97 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 10.5 | $0.050 | $0.53 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.5 | $0.095 | $1 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.060 | $0.6 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.43 | $0.170 | $0.41 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.9 | $0.620 | $1.8 | Aug 29, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?Yes | sell | 1.92 | $0.920 | $1.77 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?Yes | sell | 5.25 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 3.53 | $0.055 | $0.19 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?Yes | sell | 5.25 | $0.110 | $0.58 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 US x Iran ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| US x Iran ceasefire before August?Yes | sell | 3.03 | $0.320 | $0.97 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| US x Iran ceasefire before August?Yes | sell | 3.03 | $0.310 | $0.94 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| US x Iran ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| US x Iran ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Iran strike on Qatar today?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by June 30?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Lee Jae-myung arrested before July?Yes | buy | 118.44 | $0.008 | $1 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | sell | 483.85 | $0.002 | $0.97 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Jun 2, 2025 |
| Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.052 | $1 | Jun 2, 2025 |
| Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.056 | $1 | Jun 2, 2025 |