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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 3.61K | $0.510 | $1.9K | +$54.21 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 1.4K | $0.870 | $1.22K | 6d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 2.25K |
| $0.693 |
| $1.36K |
| -$197.24 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1.4K | $0.870 | $1.03K | -$189.55 |
| buy |
| 2.04K |
| $0.560 |
| $1.14K |
| 6d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.9K | $0.360 | $685.44 | 6d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.370 | $74 | 6d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 346 | $0.720 | $249.12 | 19d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 34.85 | $0.700 | $24.4 | 19d ago |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.06K | $0.920 | $1.9K | 19d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.57K | $0.670 | $1.05K | 23d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 533.99 | $0.660 | $352.43 | 23d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 574.05 | $0.690 | $396.09 | 23d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 95 | $0.680 | $64.6 | 23d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 4.36K | $0.430 | $1.87K | 23d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 3.67 | $0.995 | $3.65 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 297.18 | $0.690 | $205.05 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 208.19 | $0.995 | $207.15 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 555.97 | $0.690 | $383.62 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.972 | $194.4 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.974 | $194.8 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 342.73 | $0.680 | $233.06 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 240.79 | $0.980 | $235.97 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.36K | $0.640 | $2.79K | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | sell | 875.45 | $0.053 | $46.41 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | buy | 799.47 | $0.720 | $575.62 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | buy | 29.99 | $0.710 | $21.29 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | buy | 29.99 | $0.710 | $21.29 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | buy | 16 | $0.710 | $11.36 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 1.82K | $0.350 | $637.7 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.82K | $0.510 | $929.22 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 1.37K | $0.680 | $928.88 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 1.37K | $0.740 | $1.01K | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.850 | $85 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 169.53 | $0.840 | $142.41 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 378.76 | $0.850 | $321.95 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 204.36 | $0.840 | $171.66 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes | sell | 1.65K | $0.210 | $347.31 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?Yes | buy | 175.35 | $0.480 | $84.17 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 1.56K | $0.054 | $83.92 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes | buy | 1.65K | $0.770 | $1.27K | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Lorenzo Radice win the 2026 Legnano mayoral election?Yes | buy | 362.53 | $0.700 | $253.77 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Lorenzo Radice win the 2026 Legnano mayoral election?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.690 | $27.6 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Lorenzo Radice win the 2026 Legnano mayoral election?Yes | buy | 880.93 | $0.690 | $607.84 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Rossella Fini win the 2026 San Giovanni Rotondo mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.740 | $754.8 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.820 | $1.07K | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?Yes | buy | 97.61 | $0.810 | $79.06 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 155 | $0.430 | $66.65 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.420 | $5.46 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 356.21 | $0.420 | $149.61 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 105 | $0.420 | $44.1 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 17.03 | $0.400 | $6.81 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 326.03 | $0.400 | $130.41 | Jun 4, 2026 |