Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 746.59 | $0.437 | $63.46 | -$262.54 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Jul 28, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 750 |
| $0.269 |
| $48.75 |
| -$152.74 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 297.65 | $0.504 | $28.28 | -$121.72 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 100 | $0.280 | $28 | $0 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 112.12 | $0.294 | $17.04 | -$15.92 |
 Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 254.35 | $0.185 | $13.99 | -$33.01 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 219.84 | $0.045 | $9.12 | -$0.88 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 100 | $0.210 | $6.5 | -$14.5 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 62.99 | $0.496 | $4.5 | -$26.75 |
| Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 50.95 | $0.196 | $4.33 | -$5.67 |
| Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 46.6 | $0.215 | $2.91 | -$7.09 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 45.45 | $0.220 | $2.73 | -$7.27 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 12.93 | $0.290 | $1.88 | -$1.88 |
| buy |
| 25.64 |
| $0.390 |
| $10 |
| Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.167 | $10 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 53.57 | $0.560 | $30 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.210 | $21 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 219.84 | $0.045 | $10 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.280 | $28 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 125 | $0.400 | $50 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 38.79 | $0.170 | $6.59 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 156.36 | $0.302 | $47.24 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | sell | 11.86 | $0.300 | $3.56 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 43.1 | $0.950 | $40.95 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | sell | 47.45 | $0.510 | $24.2 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 73.63 | $0.679 | $50 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | sell | 407.62 | $0.001 | $0.41 | May 27, 2026 |
 US military draft authorized in 2026?No | sell | 30.23 | $0.910 | $27.51 | May 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | May 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | buy | 56.72 | $0.670 | $38 | May 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 86.21 | $0.580 | $50 | May 23, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.470 | $10 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 51.72 | $0.290 | $15 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 68.49 | $0.365 | $25 | May 15, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 48.16 | $0.311 | $15 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.450 | $20 | May 6, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | May 6, 2026 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.100 | $25 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 67 | $0.710 | $47.57 | May 6, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 44.37 | $0.310 | $13.75 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 104.09 | $0.106 | $11 | May 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 88.73 | $0.530 | $47.03 | May 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 76.12 | $0.657 | $50 | May 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 33.78 | $0.510 | $17.23 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 29.85 | $0.335 | $10 | May 3, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 135.14 | $0.370 | $50 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 35.72 | $0.997 | $35.61 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 75.2 | $0.978 | $73.55 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | buy | 264.76 | $0.038 | $10 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 53 | $0.940 | $49.82 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.1 | $0.830 | $20 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETDown | buy | 14.53 | $0.310 | $4.5 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 161.29 | $0.984 | $158.71 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.443 | $44.3 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.512 | $51.25 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?No | sell | 40.65 | $0.900 | $36.59 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?Yes | buy | 6.19 | $0.582 | $3.6 | Apr 19, 2026 |