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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.120 | $3.42 | +$1.42 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.260 | $1.56 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 6.45 |
| $0.310 |
| $2.81 |
| +$0.81 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 6 | $0.260 | $1.89 | +$0.33 |
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | No | 2.26 | $0.780 | $1.8 | +$0.03 |
 Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 66.45 | $0.030 | $1.56 | -$0.44 |
| sell |
| 18.18 |
| $0.100 |
| $1.82 |
| 2d ago |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | 6d ago |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 66.45 | $0.030 | $2 | 12d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | 16d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | 22d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.22 | $0.984 | $0.22 | 29d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.12 | $0.985 | $0.12 | 29d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.13 | $0.985 | $0.13 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.044 | $2 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.090 | $2 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.979 | $0.02 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 15.38 | $0.110 | $1.69 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.910 | $0.02 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.17 | $0.218 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | buy | 60.61 | $0.033 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?No | sell | 0.27 | $0.910 | $0.25 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.900 | $0.01 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | sell | 2.91 | $0.304 | $0.88 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | sell | 3.37 | $0.302 | $1.02 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.15 | $0.977 | $2.1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.04 | $0.230 | $0.01 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.47 | $0.230 | $0.11 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.230 | $0 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.47 | $0.230 | $0.11 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.230 | $0 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.09 | $0.230 | $0.02 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.12 | $0.230 | $0.26 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.23 | $0.230 | $0.28 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.230 | $0 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.230 | $0 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.58 | $0.230 | $0.36 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | sell | 3.25 | $0.500 | $1.63 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | sell | 0.34 | $0.493 | $0.17 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 3.66 | $0.520 | $1.9 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 0.07 | $0.520 | $0.04 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 0.73 | $0.510 | $0.37 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.510 | $0.01 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 0.58 | $0.510 | $0.3 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.510 | $0.02 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.510 | $0.01 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 0.07 | $0.510 | $0.04 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 0.29 | $0.510 | $0.15 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 0.37 | $0.500 | $0.19 | Jul 26, 2026 |